Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa899a47b1cbe2ca2ab53a91e5a403d054f078b42ca9402ff4c336d76ff59e730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, Flame Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Flame Team | 11c | 2,114$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.43 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…e1c7backed Flame Team | 4c | 1,757$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Flame Team | 19c | 1,419$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Flame Team | 10c | 1,298$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Flame Team | 23c | 1,246$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.71 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Flame Team | 8c | 1,223$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked Flame Team | 26c | 1,118$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.34 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Power Rangers | 80c | 1,062$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.93 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…f8a1backed Flame Team | 5c | 536.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 522.66$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Flame Team | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Power Rangers | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Flame Team | 16c | 386.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Power Rangers | 75c | 385.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Flame Team | 16c | 381.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Power Rangers | 77c | 358.25$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed Flame Team | 28c | 350.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Flame Team | 25c | 318.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…2d76backed Flame Team | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Power Rangers | 75c | 270$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…c134backed Flame Team | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Power Rangers | 79c | 251.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Flame Team | 16c | 241.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Power Rangers | 74c | 230.52$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Power Rangers | 76c | 229.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Power Rangers | 74c | 223.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Flame Team | 7c | 212.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 201.65$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Flame Team | 19c | 190$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…dba7backed Power Rangers | 78c | 189.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked Flame Team | 6c | 176.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Flame Team | 16c | 160.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Flame Team | 26c | 155.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Power Rangers | 79c | 149.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Flame Team | 9c | 128.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Flame Team | 24c | 122.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Flame Team | 17c | 114.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Flame Team | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Flame Team | 25c | 97.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Flame Team | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Flame Team | 20c | 91.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Flame Team | 14c | 90.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Flame Team | 25c | 86.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2c2ebacked Flame Team | 14c | 85.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Flame Team | 26c | 77.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Flame Team | 21c | 77.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Flame Team | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Flame Team | 20c | 73.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Power Rangers | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Flame Team | 27c | 69.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Flame Team | 22c | 66.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd554…06e6backed Power Rangers | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Flame Team | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Flame Team | 22c | 55.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…cc1ebacked Power Rangers | 75c | 53.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Power Rangers | 73c | 43.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Flame Team | 26c | 42.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Power Rangers | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Power Rangers | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Power Rangers | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Power Rangers | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team - Game 2 WinnerFlame Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.