Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x394c280843cf929f6f7901feaada82a5d781ff049fd66048ae665a6dc1368e8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Nigma Galaxy, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $515,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $626,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 66,464$47,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,446.98 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 26,534$6,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,029.76 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 25,139$8,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,110.1 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yellow Submarine | 27c | 21,624$5,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,785.72 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 20,714$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 15,540$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,452.2 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 14,136$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,432.9 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 13,608$10,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,324 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 13,248$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,008.49 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 11,080$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,304.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine | 17c | 10,416$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,611.17 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 10,000$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,201.25 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 10,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 8,500$6,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,290 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 8,108$5,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,858.39 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Yellow Submarine | 22c | 7,273$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,673.02 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 6,206$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.3 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 5,552$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.11 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Yellow Submarine | 31c | 5,339$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683.88 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 4,890$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.46 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 4,281$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.11 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 4,220$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.96 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 3,391$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.22 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 3,175$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.49 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 3,123$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.96 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 3,021$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.47 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…78d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 3,014$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 2,789$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.85 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…ec62backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 2,775$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Yellow Submarine | 26c | 2,760$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.38 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yellow Submarine | 21c | 2,737$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.78 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 2,552$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.47 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 2,518$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.38 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Yellow Submarine | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 2,382$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.31 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 2,300$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 2,222$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.06 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 2,221$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.38 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 2,186$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.3 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 2,174$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.44 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yellow Submarine | 21c | 2,055$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.2 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 2,017$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.48 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…46ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 2,014$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 2,000$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.99 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.95 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 1,900$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.95 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 1,855$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.71 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 1,831$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.95 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 1,790$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.04 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,765$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 1,642$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.05 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 1,614$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.64 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 1,611$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.56 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,602$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yellow Submarine | 15c | 1,569$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.36 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 1,512$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.53 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 1,478$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.31 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 1,435$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.03 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 1,432$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.91 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 1,425$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.65 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 1,370$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.88 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 35c | 1,361$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.54 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 1,288$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.1 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 1,279$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.42 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 1,277$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.57 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,250$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 1,191$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.27 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 1,156$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.45 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 1,121$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.44 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…2800backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,071$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.41 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Yellow Submarine | 29c | 1,068$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.32 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 1,067$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.2 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,001$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…b4f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 989.99$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed Yellow Submarine | 20c | 978.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.41 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 978.02$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.68 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 970.51$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.54 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 953.4$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.35 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 932.35$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.46 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 926.72$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.05 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…a0c7backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…c45dbacked Yellow Submarine | 26c | 900$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Yellow Submarine | 12c | 894.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 62c | 889.99$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.66 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Yellow Submarine | 18c | 873.21$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.94 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 863.12$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 854$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…fa00backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.