TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a4b…a0c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4269%29 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$226
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+62%+$169.07
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$116.43
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$55
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+55%+$71
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+65%+$226.33
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.96
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$127.29
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$548.68
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$31.82
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$33.25
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$465.48
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$47
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.5
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$54.07
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. LA Clippersbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$39.18
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.33
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.19
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$780.05
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+209.7%+$2,015.49
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,122.29
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.26
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,114.22
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$3,954.08
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,728Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,050.45
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$761.1
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$172.38
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+517.5%+$646.27
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100.99
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.56
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$145.73
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$127.01
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$133.98
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.06
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$54.84
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$104.79
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$15.71
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.89
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$242
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$288
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.95
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$177.53
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.95
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.15
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$51
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$101.82
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.9
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$23.79
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$46.6
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$186.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.