Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6e7fb89eea732a895f4a0ecf9c844898777839258fd5749f11b2114a651bc02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,573,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,747,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,573,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 431 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 359,204$112,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,169.21 | 224 | 51.8%116 W · 108 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed T1 | 69c | 209,573$144,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,150.39 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Karmine Corp | 0c | 186,385$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.43 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Karmine Corp | 0c | 179,658$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.92 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed T1 | 70c | 77,168$53,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,517.57 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed T1 | 68c | 55,555$37,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,777.6 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed Karmine Corp | 0c | 40,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 27,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 25,000$7,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,750 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 18,556$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,831.3 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Karmine Corp | 10c | 17,945$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.06 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 17,735$5,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,303.01 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked T1 | 70c | 17,330$12,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,198.93 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…ed95backed Karmine Corp | 2c | 15,947$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.16 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed T1 | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 14,784$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.82 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Karmine Corp | 28c | 14,443$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.03 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Karmine Corp | 3c | 13,628$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.66 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Karmine Corp | 1c | 13,358$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…e850backed Karmine Corp | 0c | 12,935$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 12,787$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.74 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked T1 | 71c | 12,780$9,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.31 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 11,942$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.02 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 11,277$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 179 | 39.1%70 W · 109 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked T1 | 71c | 10,157$7,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.67 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked T1 | 70c | 10,060$7,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.22 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Karmine Corp | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.98 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked T1 | 71c | 9,901$7,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.4 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp | 20c | 9,078$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.5 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed T1 | 68c | 6,190$4,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.46 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 5,702$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.46 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed T1 | 68c | 5,253$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.59 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…130ebacked Karmine Corp | 2c | 5,104$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 215 | 23.3%50 W · 165 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Karmine Corp | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Karmine Corp | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Karmine Corp | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…02b4backed T1 | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Karmine Corp | 6c | 5,000$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.12 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 4,886$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.5 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 4,776$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.37 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed T1 | 67c | 4,582$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.19 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked T1 | 69c | 4,500$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked T1 | 71c | 4,500$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.43 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked T1 | 68c | 4,384$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.88 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 4,375$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed T1 | 73c | 4,217$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.34 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…f546backed T1 | 72c | 4,035$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.36 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked T1 | 69c | 3,848$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.28 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5a…f064backed Karmine Corp | 8c | 3,717$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.68 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed T1 | 69c | 3,700$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed T1 | 72c | 3,614$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.93 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked T1 | 71c | 3,525$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.42 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed T1 | 68c | 3,500$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 3,440$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.25 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Karmine Corp | 9c | 3,411$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…5ec6backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 3,283$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 3,191$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.38 | 452 | 48%217 W · 235 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed T1 | 70c | 3,128$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.19 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Karmine Corp | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 353 | 53.5%189 W · 164 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…0e0cbacked T1 | 71c | 3,039$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.59 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Karmine Corp | 32c | 3,031$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.99 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked T1 | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed T1 | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed T1 | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked T1 | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed Karmine Corp | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 429 | 24.2%104 W · 325 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked T1 | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Karmine Corp | 29c | 2,961$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.16 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed T1 | 69c | 2,750$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.5 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Karmine Corp | 9c | 2,745$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.38 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 2,718$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.69 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed T1 | 68c | 2,615$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.67 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed T1 | 70c | 2,596$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.72 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked T1 | 68c | 2,513$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.16 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Karmine Corp | 21c | 2,500$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.49 | 218 | 59.6%130 W · 88 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked T1 | 68c | 2,466$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.03 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | +21.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed T1 | 70c | 2,367$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c6…97aebacked Karmine Corp | 1c | 2,290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 40.1%79 W · 118 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed T1 | 69c | 2,154$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.88 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed T1 | 69c | 2,100$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp | 7c | 2,060$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.69 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed T1 | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…4fcfbacked T1 | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Karmine Corp | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Karmine Corp | 18c | 1,996$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.66 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…b9efbacked Karmine Corp | 5c | 1,900$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 252 | 41.3%104 W · 148 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Karmine Corp | 2c | 1,876$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 293 | 31.4%92 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 1,634$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.69 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Karmine Corp | 4c | 1,624$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked T1 | 73c | 1,591$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.93 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.71 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed Karmine Corp | 3c | 1,480$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked T1 | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Karmine Corp | 17c | 1,368$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed T1 | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed T1 | 69c | 1,289$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.59 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed T1 | 72c | 1,285$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.88 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?No won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.