Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5396533be8b6ec2176e4f824ecd49a8053caf5fccbfd9d73dcb7dcc300e560d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Over | 16c | 792.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 23c | 704.95$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 186 | 65.6%122 W · 64 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 78c | 230.71$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Over | 24c | 197.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 24c | 197.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 19c | 173.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225e…ac2dbacked Under | 77c | 128.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…0296backed Over | 19c | 124.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…cec1backed Over | 20c | 77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…7a7fbacked Under | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 76c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e5…dd13backed Over | 25c | 45.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 78c | 22.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…bbfbbacked Under | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Under | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6051…3fcdbacked Under | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?No won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.