TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x183f…85e3backed Karmine Corp32c19,000$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,079.921,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…369bbacked T169c16,411$11,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,080.324763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Karmine Corp30c10,000$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,974.992142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Karmine Corp31c9,677$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.869853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Karmine Corp31c9,537$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.436131.1%19 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Karmine Corp30c7,925$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.659554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T171c7,000$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,03091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Karmine Corp31c6,570$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.1114553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp29c6,351$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.190348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T169c5,546$3,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.3259558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed T170c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Karmine Corp31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2403,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed T168c3,663$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.124953.1%26 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T168c3,333$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.671,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Karmine Corp32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96029443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed T168c2,964$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.1914761.9%91 W · 56 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked T168c2,912$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.958055%44 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Karmine Corp33c2,831$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.11,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f77…0b4abacked T170c2,467$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.23757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed T167c2,434$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.0621154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f4…148cbacked T169c2,052$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.672948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked T168c2,039$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.4921844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked T170c2,030$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.858146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp20c1,975$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.41,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked T168c1,557$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.2432350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed T176c1,471$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.76342.9%27 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed T169c1,304$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.351,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed T168c1,080$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.6845041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed Karmine Corp32c909.29$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9728350.2%142 W · 141 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked T169c898.55$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.559962.6%62 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Karmine Corp10c862$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.416819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Karmine Corp12c813.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7911146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed T168c758.28$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6541945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed T168c733.08$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5949461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed T169c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6433263.6%211 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Karmine Corp32c643.83$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0396054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed T168c635.94$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.548852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed T169c598.65$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6529761.6%183 W · 114 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked T168c585.86$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4824535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3054…055bbacked Karmine Corp12c580$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Karmine Corp32c565$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.82,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed T172c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5642348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7119…db8dbacked T168c533.53$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.735149%25 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T169c526.07$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.122,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed T168c511.43$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.438264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp20c500.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.592,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked T171c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14527745.8%127 W · 150 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed T170c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15020542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T168c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked T169c484.06$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0637640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed T170c441.68$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9932653.4%174 W · 152 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed T169c436.87$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4313067.7%88 W · 42 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Karmine Corp23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008853.4%47 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked T170c430$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12913551.9%70 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Karmine Corp33c424.24$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14055347%260 W · 293 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x789b…11f8backed T174c409.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.39751.5%50 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed T168c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6528250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2141…0effbacked T169c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.322556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed T170c350$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10524649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked T168c347.06$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0650158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked T169c339$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10564749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a8…f71cbacked T168c334.28$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1927…86febacked T169c311.59$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.59560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed T171c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8715143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked T168c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1221457%122 W · 92 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked T169c287.41$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.120946.4%97 W · 112 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed T168c280$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.611538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe450…a40abacked T172c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7812263.1%77 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed T168c264.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7127050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Karmine Corp32c264.25$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.22638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Karmine Corp9c260$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.328341%116 W · 167 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp25c259.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.352,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked T171c255.15$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1536246.4%168 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2975…0aafbacked T168c253.69$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.181361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c69…c149backed T171c226.82$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.782157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc090…d267backed T169c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.391250%6 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked T170c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2928965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Karmine Corp29c213.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.821249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27c7…ba3ebacked T168c210$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.233069.7%230 W · 100 L+28.7wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Karmine Corp30c205$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9920143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Karmine Corp12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed T168c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked T170c197.23$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5142751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed T169c191$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2110546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa668…f0f1backed T168c179.54$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.452646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Karmine Corp29c177$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.586235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed T169c172.2$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.389149.5%45 W · 46 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked T175c169.64$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.921,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed T168c167.32$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5424656.1%138 W · 108 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Karmine Corp30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056949.4%281 W · 288 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Karmine Corp28c164$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9267760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Karmine Corp12c163.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6616645.8%76 W · 90 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49bc…8e3cbacked T169c162.03$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.031163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked T168c161.76$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7663458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70c…34cabacked T169c152.17$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1715673.1%114 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Karmine Corp33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.514837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4199…0d54backed T168c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed T169c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.937856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f7d…a8fbbacked T169c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf919…7ebdbacked T170c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.