Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf203a4bb4d6a9ec25df5bf849812bf2f24a67b29d2ace5924da5c55de050c014
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $322,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0a2…353abacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 28,000$17,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,359.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 24,054$14,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,672.85 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked T1 | 38c | 22,791$8,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,170.22 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed T1 | 40c | 22,222$8,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,272.4 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed T1 | 39c | 14,871$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,071.31 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 13,000$8,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,190 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Karmine Corp | 61c | 12,954$7,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,881.86 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 12,500$7,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,624.86 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 12,190$6,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,943.94 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 12,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed T1 | 41c | 11,200$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,638.65 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…dbc4backed T1 | 39c | 10,951$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,680.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed T1 | 38c | 10,690$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,625.22 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 294 | 43.2%127 W · 167 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…0d47backed T1 | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked T1 | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed T1 | 60c | 9,009$5,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.56 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…c2d7backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 6,666$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.89 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ce…98ecbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 5,975$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 5,902$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.37 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked T1 | 39c | 5,696$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.71 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8438…4831backed T1 | 39c | 5,063$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.18 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 4,759$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.39 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 4,500$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.98 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…4ef1backed T1 | 60c | 4,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.97 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed T1 | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.85 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 3,835$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.32 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 3,781$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.91 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked T1 | 38c | 3,666$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.32 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed T1 | 61c | 3,500$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.76 | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked T1 | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed T1 | 39c | 3,390$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.81 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…d8c2backed Karmine Corp | 61c | 3,241$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.87 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 3,217$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.58 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed T1 | 38c | 3,132$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.58 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Karmine Corp | 63c | 3,052$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.79 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked T1 | 37c | 2,884$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.66 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed T1 | 37c | 2,798$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.04 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 2,626$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.91 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed T1 | 41c | 2,354$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.66 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed T1 | 55c | 2,349$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.71 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed T1 | 38c | 2,115$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.96 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked T1 | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed T1 | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed T1 | 63c | 1,895$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.84 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…4277backed T1 | 58c | 1,709$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.83 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 1,619$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.75 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…6187backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 1,562$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.49 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed T1 | 74c | 1,538$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.86 | 422 | 46.4%196 W · 226 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed T1 | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…cec1backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 1,462$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.12 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…185fbacked T1 | 67c | 1,422$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.2 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 1,362$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.45 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 1,340$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.62 | 238 | 49.2%117 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed T1 | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked T1 | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked T1 | 38c | 1,278$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.39 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed T1 | 38c | 1,257$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.52 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Karmine Corp | 44c | 1,223$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.03 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed T1 | 39c | 1,126$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.06 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 1,121$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.31 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 1,108$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.21 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Karmine Corp | 58c | 1,050$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 1,045$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.28 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked T1 | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.1 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 990.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked T1 | 52c | 956.87$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.3 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked T1 | 38c | 901.43$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.94 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked T1 | 37c | 888$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.44 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed T1 | 60c | 833.15$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.05 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 795.53$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.4 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5971…0b4ebacked Karmine Corp | 41c | 769.73$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Karmine Corp | 33c | 768.48$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed T1 | 39c | 752.51$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.03 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked T1 | 38c | 747.91$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.7 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked T1 | 38c | 742.11$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.11 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed T1 | 38c | 730.63$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed T1 | 40c | 723.12$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.46 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed T1 | 39c | 717.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.95 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked T1 | 68c | 706.86$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.15 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…da8fbacked T1 | 61c | 700$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…c45dbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed T1 | 55c | 699.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 687.77$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.13 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked T1 | 41c | 670.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.88 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked T1 | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked T1 | 39c | 645.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +184.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed T1 | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Karmine Corp | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed T1 | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…e5d1backed T1 | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed T1 | 38c | 500.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 500$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed T1 | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?No won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.