Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa27e2eb296f23e4d48c54021450552065c7200dab13385ce63b2ac7bd00f6e31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $933,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,055,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $933,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp | 15c | 66,444$10,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,218.9 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…3220backed T1 | 77c | 57,553$44,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,237.16 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe70…d981backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 39,708$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 27,416$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,468.57 | 1,158 | 49.2%570 W · 588 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 25,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,749.99 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 15,106$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.01 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Karmine Corp | 12c | 14,055$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.61 | 140 | 56.4%79 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Karmine Corp | 11c | 11,844$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.28 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed T1 | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Karmine Corp | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked T1 | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed Karmine Corp | 14c | 9,996$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.83 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 8,809$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.13 | 859 | 42.7%367 W · 492 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp | 18c | 8,735$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.98 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 23c | 8,698$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.14 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked T1 | 74c | 8,344$6,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.61 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 22c | 7,915$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.56 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Karmine Corp | 13c | 7,854$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.29 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…d8c2backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 7,826$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…ed95backed T1 | 79c | 7,693$6,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.68 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked T1 | 77c | 7,500$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.99 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 7,200$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.98 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Karmine Corp | 27c | 7,000$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.99 | 545 | 55.2%301 W · 244 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Karmine Corp | 12c | 6,742$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed T1 | 76c | 6,579$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.95 | 162 | 58%94 W · 68 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Karmine Corp | 21c | 6,556$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 308 | 54.5%168 W · 140 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…701fbacked T1 | 69c | 6,505$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.5 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…21d7backed Karmine Corp | 13c | 6,389$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.43 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 6,213$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.76 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Karmine Corp | 17c | 5,980$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.28 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 5,733$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.92 | 861 | 36.2%312 W · 549 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed T1 | 77c | 5,678$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.94 | 1,596 | 53.7%857 W · 739 L | +56.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Karmine Corp | 8c | 5,657$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.53 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 5,652$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 584 | 57.7%337 W · 247 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62e…eda7backed T1 | 76c | 5,374$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee7c…70f2backed Karmine Corp | 17c | 5,150$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.43 | 488 | 34%166 W · 322 L | +25.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed T1 | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 1,203 | 54%650 W · 553 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked T1 | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 268 | 56%150 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…02b4backed Karmine Corp | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Karmine Corp | 14c | 4,482$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.53 | 897 | 46.9%421 W · 476 L | +43.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed T1 | 75c | 4,193$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.93 | 289 | 59.2%171 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Karmine Corp | 26c | 4,120$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.02 | 903 | 50.8%459 W · 444 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed T1 | 79c | 4,068$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.21 | 464 | 64%297 W · 167 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 4,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…130ebacked Karmine Corp | 12c | 4,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 3,913$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 248 | 58.1%144 W · 104 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed T1 | 78c | 3,776$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.72 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked T1 | 77c | 3,611$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.07 | 997 | 56.6%564 W · 433 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Karmine Corp | 22c | 3,510$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.17 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Karmine Corp | 23c | 3,500$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.72 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 3,424$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked T1 | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.33 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 3,200$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Karmine Corp | 25c | 3,200$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…5fbdbacked Karmine Corp | 14c | 3,187$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.04 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 3,086$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.64 | 479 | 33.2%159 W · 320 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 3,074$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 1,223 | 58.1%710 W · 513 L | +43.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Karmine Corp | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Karmine Corp | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…a5bfbacked T1 | 77c | 2,861$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Karmine Corp | 17c | 2,857$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.43 | 422 | 46.4%196 W · 226 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 2,753$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.69 | 473 | 47.4%224 W · 249 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked T1 | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 523 | 65%340 W · 183 L | -16.3wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a8…cde8backed T1 | 74c | 2,560$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.6 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed T1 | 79c | 2,513$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.8 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked T1 | 76c | 2,500$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 1,223 | 48.6%594 W · 629 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed T1 | 75c | 2,310$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.37 | 487 | 63.2%308 W · 179 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed T1 | 78c | 2,271$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.62 | 598 | 54.2%324 W · 274 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Karmine Corp | 22c | 2,270$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 320 | 45.6%146 W · 174 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked T1 | 75c | 2,178$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.83 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked T1 | 76c | 2,143$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.24 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed T1 | 74c | 2,094$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.58 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed T1 | 72c | 2,089$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.29 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…36c6backed Karmine Corp | 7c | 2,070$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.15 | 121 | 19.8%24 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Karmine Corp | 13c | 2,035$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.04 | 1,300 | 45.2%587 W · 713 L | +50.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Karmine Corp | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 904 | 43.6%394 W · 510 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 2,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Karmine Corp | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed Karmine Corp | 9c | 2,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 429 | 24.2%104 W · 325 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…3ba9backed Karmine Corp | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 339 | 45.4%154 W · 185 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Karmine Corp | 13c | 1,895$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.36 | 814 | 43.5%354 W · 460 L | +30.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 1,817$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.87 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Karmine Corp | 22c | 1,750$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp | 15c | 1,711$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Karmine Corp | 33c | 1,666$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.5 | 650 | 47.4%308 W · 342 L | +24.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Karmine Corp | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Karmine Corp | 22c | 1,591$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed T1 | 78c | 1,542$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.69 | 594 | 59.1%351 W · 243 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed T1 | 78c | 1,519$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.68 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked T1 | 76c | 1,500$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 351 | 59.5%209 W · 142 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed T1 | 74c | 1,497$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.13 | 318 | 38.1%121 W · 197 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Karmine Corp | 16c | 1,493$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.71 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Karmine Corp | 14c | 1,493$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.89 | 678 | 53.4%362 W · 316 L | +25.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked T1 | 67c | 1,369$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.66 | 386 | 62.2%240 W · 146 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed T1 | 75c | 1,350$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.88 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp | 13c | 1,346$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.63 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked T1 | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 711 | 57%405 W · 306 L | +40.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?No won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.