TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,818 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over58c9,986$5,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,792.0590348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under42c9,192$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,357.051,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f1…9087backed Over48c6,008$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-78.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over43c5,082$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.21,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under42c4,586$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.531931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under61c3,775$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.314852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Over76c2,537$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.757742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under40c2,492$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.011,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under40c2,439$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.421,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8579…185fbacked Over58c1,980$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.679046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over60c1,966$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.887754.5%42 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over27c1,478$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.932,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under60c1,438$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.122,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under54c1,400$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.141,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under50c1,229$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.722,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under33c1,215$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.263,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Over58c1,177$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.651,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Over48c1,150$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.496235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Over27c1,097$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4810252%53 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over47c1,000$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.269460.6%57 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Under50c999.99$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50529758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Under62c904.66$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.710949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over59c814.58$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.241,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over37c769.1$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1732442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Under55c760$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34249451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under36c694$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.511,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Under59c682.1$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.16956.5%39 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Over78c648.1$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.597847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Over59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3542339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under60c579$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4446452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed Under41c550$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3269252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under38c516.64$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3121347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under45c515.27$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4721231.1%66 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over68c509.76$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.171,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c501.74$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.92,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Over75c499.49$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.774632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over35c438.39$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5419553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under50c428.67$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.781,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd59b…3ce2backed Over60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Under74c408.99$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3442246.4%196 W · 226 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Under27c400$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Over39c397.19$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.916645.8%76 W · 90 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over60c382.05$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2328652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over45c373.78$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9527745.8%127 W · 150 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Over59c366$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9441347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Under56c355.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0419052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under43c349.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.771,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Over60c330.18$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19818841%77 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5832…f585backed Over62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004626.1%12 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over41c322.09$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0614732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf19…79bbbacked Over66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016858.9%99 W · 69 L+18.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6660…172bbacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Under34c299.55$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.734849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a3…a3fabacked Under68c295.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4710872.2%78 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8b…90fdbacked Over56c287.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over45c279.05$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.422,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked Over60c278.55$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1317745.2%80 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over43c268.24$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.431,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under58c257.19$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.476051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Over58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14595048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Under40c235$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14119735%69 W · 128 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Under58c231.71$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.175257.7%30 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under49c220.29$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4540641.9%170 W · 236 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Over31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625545.5%25 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Over31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Under61c199.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7813966.9%93 W · 46 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over39c196.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.831,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Under55c195$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.751,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over57c194.36$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under40c187.41$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7332555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffd…fab1backed Over60c182.07$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over42c175.01$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8931439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Over59c169.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2215143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd705…caf8backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017661.9%109 W · 67 L+15.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Over60c166.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032650.3%164 W · 162 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009537.9%36 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under47c161.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.962,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9921747%102 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Over66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a30…7b6cbacked Over59c148.64$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.72050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over38c143.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.561,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under39c136.86$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.942,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over31c134.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5513830.4%42 W · 96 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Over60c133.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99ef…184dbacked Under61c131.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6817953.1%95 W · 84 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over43c121.55$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5970443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb459…5bd3backed Under42c119.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.284946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Over59c116$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.441,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under40c107.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.525542%107 W · 148 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under53c106.01$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6950145.7%229 W · 272 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Over59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under44c101.69$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4182836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Under60c101.67$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6717755.9%99 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017345.7%79 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9a…963fbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd658…4dbebacked Over61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.