Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d070f10d8e2032b45efc0b8900983588339dd98b1182a6a6ef1618afd91cd96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,583,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,822,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,583,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 837 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp | 27c | 66,323$17,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,762.16 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe70…d981backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 46,836$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Karmine Corp | 15c | 32,322$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,842.35 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp | 20c | 31,149$6,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,261.91 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked T1 | 59c | 27,949$16,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,567.51 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed T1 | 80c | 27,657$22,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,615.46 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 26,579$8,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,609.38 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…701fbacked T1 | 64c | 25,382$16,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,105.58 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 24,721$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,685.82 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 22,835$12,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,297.25 | 140 | 56.4%79 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Karmine Corp | 18c | 22,222$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.96 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Karmine Corp | 25c | 20,393$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.79 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed T1 | 77c | 19,909$15,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,536.6 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed T1 | 80c | 17,192$13,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.5 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp | 36c | 17,131$6,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,151.06 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed T1 | 79c | 16,665$13,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.87 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Karmine Corp | 19c | 15,030$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.9 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 14,409$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.02 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked T1 | 76c | 13,341$10,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.84 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Karmine Corp | 20c | 12,531$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 11,903$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.83 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 11,502$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719.43 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 21c | 11,501$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.36 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…ed95backed T1 | 76c | 11,428$8,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.33 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec8…3a77backed T1 | 79c | 11,066$8,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.77 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62e…eda7backed T1 | 68c | 10,772$7,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed T1 | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked T1 | 76c | 10,000$7,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 9,511$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.56 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed T1 | 47c | 9,400$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Karmine Corp | 31c | 9,154$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.48 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed T1 | 55c | 9,028$4,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.05 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Karmine Corp | 20c | 8,891$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.56 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…2a2dbacked T1 | 79c | 8,585$6,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.01 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…5fbdbacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 8,374$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.59 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp | 29c | 8,152$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.17 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 17c | 8,095$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.52 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 8,041$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.59 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed T1 | 76c | 8,000$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 162 | 58%94 W · 68 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed T1 | 55c | 7,747$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.43 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked T1 | 65c | 7,256$4,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.95 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 6,897$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.18 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 6,336$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.63 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 6,250$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.05 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Karmine Corp | 30c | 6,173$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.62 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked T1 | 74c | 6,165$4,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.3 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked T1 | 75c | 6,075$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.3 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Karmine Corp | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Karmine Corp | 16c | 5,974$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.58 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked T1 | 71c | 5,543$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.35 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked T1 | 57c | 5,321$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.61 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Karmine Corp | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | +21.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed T1 | 79c | 5,167$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.81 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Karmine Corp | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 353 | 53.5%189 W · 164 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Karmine Corp | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 4,997$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.07 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 4,750$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.44 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 4,501$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.08 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 4,472$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.06 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed T1 | 77c | 4,469$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.71 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 4,395$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.97 | 513 | 48%246 W · 267 L | +25.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Karmine Corp | 13c | 4,339$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.04 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 4,268$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.29 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed T1 | 71c | 4,150$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.21 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed T1 | 72c | 4,150$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.62 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Karmine Corp | 27c | 4,072$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.96 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 4,058$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.67 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 4,020$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.58 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…e82abacked T1 | 79c | 3,817$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.91 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed T1 | 78c | 3,789$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.29 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed T1 | 52c | 3,582$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.95 | 219 | 46.6%102 W · 117 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 3,475$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.8 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed T1 | 29c | 3,394$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.66 | 153 | 33.3%51 W · 102 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed T1 | 41c | 3,354$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.8 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed T1 | 77c | 3,298$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.26 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp | 31c | 3,250$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.5 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 3,242$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.22 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked T1 | 59c | 3,089$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.27 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…072fbacked T1 | 61c | 3,024$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.43 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed T1 | 76c | 2,968$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.42 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Karmine Corp | 21c | 2,864$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed T1 | 39c | 2,841$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.93 | 452 | 48%217 W · 235 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 2,838$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.85 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Karmine Corp | 33c | 2,797$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.34 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…21d7backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 2,683$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.55 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 2,681$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.75 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 2,664$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.26 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed T1 | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 236 | 72%170 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 2,560$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…71d0backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 2,553$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.22 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 2,517$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.03 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked T1 | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed T1 | 72c | 2,500$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 2,473$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.62 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked T1 | 74c | 2,448$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.96 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked T1 | 64c | 2,386$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.89 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…e214backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 2,381$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed T1 | 48c | 2,349$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.76 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97b…87dcbacked Karmine Corp | 52c | 2,287$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.49 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?No won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.