TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb855…c1be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
340
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT19245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 192 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$702.5
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$83.39
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+373.9%+$373.91
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$110.35
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$96.3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$30.03
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,465Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$389.65
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$97.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.65
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$327.19
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.36
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$31.63
Showing 25 of 192 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10252%53 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.99
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$186.38
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.94
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.82
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$56.82
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+161.8%+$32.36
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$31.11
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
All 4 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+351.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-0.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-0.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.