TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Manchester United FCof Manchester United FC, Tottenham Hotspur FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tottenham Hotspur FC55c19,786$10,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,953.356,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Manchester United FC37c12,312$4,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,737.191861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Tottenham Hotspur FC62c8,061$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,998.092,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Manchester United FC49c7,973$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,036.784,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Manchester United FC53c5,670$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.68153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Manchester United FC31c5,518$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.42055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1503360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Manchester United FC36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd070…a978backed Manchester United FC37c2,251$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.352330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Manchester United FC37c2,141$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.5419239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Manchester United FC37c2,098$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.716261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC63c1,667$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.2121056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Manchester United FC36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Tottenham Hotspur FC63c1,407$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.29756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b0…ccc3backed Manchester United FC38c1,297$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.045149%25 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Manchester United FC38c1,060$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.743339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Tottenham Hotspur FC64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6406066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Manchester United FC45c949.99$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5262441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Manchester United FC58c909.49$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.298134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC30c870$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Tottenham Hotspur FC64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Tottenham Hotspur FC64c685.53$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.742528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC64c663.91$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Manchester United FC52c576.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.42857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Manchester United FC37c541.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.16144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Manchester United FC37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5424630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x254e…709abacked Manchester United FC38c526.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+102.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Manchester United FC36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC62c499.97$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Tottenham Hotspur FC68c499.75$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.831656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Manchester United FC30c466.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.675335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Tottenham Hotspur FC66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Tottenham Hotspur FC67c450.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Manchester United FC52c449.62$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8229044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Manchester United FC36c405.92$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.798643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Manchester United FC35c350$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.551847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Manchester United FC36c333.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3327748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b80…d023backed Tottenham Hotspur FC64c312.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.896854.4%37 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…d976backed Tottenham Hotspur FC64c312.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.898259.8%49 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0a…720dbacked Manchester United FC38c308.21$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.09616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Tottenham Hotspur FC63c305.39$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.51,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc049…7a80backed Manchester United FC33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9417748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…bd56backed Manchester United FC50c274$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Manchester United FC37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2712143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2f2…10ccbacked Manchester United FC37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.27450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+123.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf020…ae69backed Manchester United FC37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+70.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Manchester United FC38c265.79$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.792339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Manchester United FC54c260$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.63125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb41…33cdbacked Manchester United FC39c251.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Manchester United FC36c234.74$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.242,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Manchester United FC31c219.35$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.357343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Tottenham Hotspur FC65c209$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8517544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae3…8753backed Manchester United FC36c208.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Manchester United FC62c202$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.764850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Manchester United FC37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Manchester United FC52c193.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0417048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Manchester United FC32c187.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.55334%18 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Manchester United FC77c175.32$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3219259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68e…8a50backed Tottenham Hotspur FC30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc59…df13backed Tottenham Hotspur FC64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Manchester United FC69c144.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9114463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester United FC59c136.63$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.091,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb7…618ebacked Manchester United FC37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.142944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tottenham Hotspur FC48c134.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Tottenham Hotspur FC64c126.39$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.891154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c3…42cbbacked Manchester United FC64c117.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.19757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Tottenham Hotspur FC53c115$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3810338.8%40 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Manchester United FC36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.116334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Manchester United FC37c109$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Tottenham Hotspur FC37c107.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tottenham Hotspur FC63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6314553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Manchester United FC38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6227227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Manchester United FC34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6616136.6%59 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Manchester United FC45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tottenham Hotspur FC35c97.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5489152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc84…4871backed Tottenham Hotspur FC59c95.71$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.472147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Tottenham Hotspur FC64c93.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89ab…a352backed Manchester United FC31c92.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.041435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Manchester United FC38c92.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1132737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Manchester United FC55c83.03$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.194839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked Manchester United FC37c81.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.291729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb858…7dc3backed Manchester United FC37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Manchester United FC52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.922850%14 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207931.6%25 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe36e…ad3abacked Manchester United FC38c65.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.743633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Manchester United FC31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+174.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Tottenham Hotspur FC26c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.47162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf53c…a9f3backed Manchester United FC37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052161.9%13 W · 8 L+5.1wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+70.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Manchester United FC37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0535134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…be06backed Manchester United FC38c54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Manchester United FC37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.56251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x096b…8eafbacked Manchester United FC35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Manchester United FC70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511630.2%35 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC35c49.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5531849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…1df6backed Manchester United FC43c47.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.231346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Manchester United FC37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC57c40.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2342658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ec…5891backed Manchester United FC37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc91f…5f0bbacked Manchester United FC37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.