TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under36c24,693$8,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,806.977753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c13,565$5,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,839.74,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under42c13,332$5,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,779.742,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over43c7,540$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,23923926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over53c7,183$3,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,806.7910924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over65c6,144$3,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,993.913938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c5,000$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.3750644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c4,413$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.956,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over65c3,033$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.524052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over69c2,882$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003839.5%15 W · 23 L-8.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over63c2,449$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54326344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over64c2,327$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.022,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under36c2,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40819239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over53c1,886$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.54938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under74c1,664$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.567143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under38c1,400$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.934445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over45c1,212$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0663…6f2ebacked Over64c1,050$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Over61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6109756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Over65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over65c992$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.11,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over55c950$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.52250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under37c944.31$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.011330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over33c899.99$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2938919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9e…db57backed Over64c896.08$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over33c884.85$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2923727%10 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over64c859.38$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over64c781.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under36c634.54$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.111,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a62…fa34backed Over39c586.78$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Under38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.321346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f0…e0a7backed Over65c516.86$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over59c491.05$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.727642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over55c465$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.758050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over56c443.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over65c435.3$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.0224158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xae8c…b99bbacked Over50c409.99$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.791631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25639948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Under50c397.86$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.153630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Over40c397.85$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over53c385$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0529343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over65c384.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under48c384.26$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0196445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under35c375.24$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over26c364.79$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.339627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Under71c354.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.42958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over50c340$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.919853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over58c336$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7345751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under35c330$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.530149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c307.84$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.271,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3240…7ce9backed Over67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over62c296.53$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8527955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7835028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under36c275$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1767758.4%45 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under36c274.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.229654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60dd…1591backed Over65c270.77$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb7…618ebacked Over54c240.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over50c240$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.91741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over27c238.34$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.848648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over29c230$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.71315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over64c229$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5612454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over64c203.13$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13018562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under53c202$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8461441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12810354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over32c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6314845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over63c196.83$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006647%31 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over52c180.77$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9420644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over63c174.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over52c170.54$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.684850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Over64c166.8$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.752161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under52c160.83$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.217544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d56…4a65backed Over64c160.3$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266d…083fbacked Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Under46c141.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.35050%25 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over49c138.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0913842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over31c137.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.731,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf020…ae69backed Under37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+70.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over50c135$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.137554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over41c135$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ba…51ebbacked Under77c130.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.031450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6105…5508backed Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over52c127.06$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.984839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.