Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f438cbca996cf56cb7acb717a96751e94b9729ee32ee9e6bcd4acacd9a6d19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 58c | 74,841$43,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,066.19 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Over | 42c | 27,664$11,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,618.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 20,620$8,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,454.2 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 17,990$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 16,712$5,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,089.15 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 13,674$8,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,869.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Over | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 26c | 9,670$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Under | 75c | 5,895$4,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.83 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 33c | 4,130$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.9 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under | 76c | 3,972$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.93 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 43c | 3,141$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.92 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.98 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 41c | 2,400$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 41c | 2,400$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…eaecbacked Under | 55c | 2,330$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Over | 45c | 2,330$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 42c | 2,034$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.87 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.97 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 36c | 1,829$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 42c | 1,702$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 58c | 1,678$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.63 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 4c | 1,480$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 2c | 1,361$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 42c | 1,310$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 5c | 1,305$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 1,135$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.34 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 57c | 1,040$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.35 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 56c | 1,012$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.24 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Under | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Under | 75c | 965.69$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.42 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 40c | 858.56$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.77 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 854$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 42c | 800$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 65c | 770$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 67c | 737.26$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.01 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 31c | 650$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 41c | 640$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 43c | 588.06$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 39c | 520$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…bd56backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Under | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…e875backed Under | 60c | 433.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe057…7a3fbacked Under | 76c | 424.39$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 58c | 406$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 58c | 398$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 42c | 355.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb78…6310backed Under | 57c | 346.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 58c | 346$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Over | 6c | 339.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 42c | 336.9$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…b3bdbacked Over | 44c | 333.23$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 312.11$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.07 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…2c56backed Over | 38c | 310.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 41c | 296$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 40c | 292.68$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 74c | 291.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 264.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 42c | 241.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…c7debacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 68c | 237.72$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 40c | 223.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 43c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 42c | 199.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…740fbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 60c | 175$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ad4bbacked Under | 80c | 162.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…2751backed Under | 65c | 160.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 30c | 147.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 70c | 139.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 42c | 126.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 44c | 122.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 41c | 121.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 58c | 117.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed Over | 16c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Under | 57c | 107.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 78c | 100.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 42c | 100.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 58c | 98.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 41c | 96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.