Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x804e4b8b3230cf1aeff3fa248d08d5aefb998aeb941313a449be556dd44dd461

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $195,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $257,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,148 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under	27c	31,511$8,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,362.51	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under	2c	20,341$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.27	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+88.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	15c	9,155$1,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390.28	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over	51c	7,120$3,631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,488.77	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.37per pick	50cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Under	1c	3,920$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+8.6wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+45%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	80c	3,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	17c	2,719$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.83	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over	78c	2,061$1,608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.41	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	64cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d16…528abacked Under	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under	1c	1,941$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	15c	1,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over	79c	1,342$1,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.08	90	67.8%61 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	70c	1,057$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.14	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under	26c	999.99$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over	64c	820$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.2	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	60c	671.84$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.17	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under	16c	565.6$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.39	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over	59c	509.78$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.01	38	68.4%26 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Over	66c	500$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Over	64c	469.28$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.28	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under	16c	468.75$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a62…fa34backed Over	69c	434.51$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.7	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	19c	419.12$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.32	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Over	52c	385$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.8	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over	55c	380$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over	78c	360.26$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.26	22	86.4%19 W · 3 L	+3.7wins	+0.17per pick	70cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	16c	278.14$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.45	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over	75c	268.33$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.08	192	59.4%114 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	54c	259.33$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.29	177	45.2%80 W · 97 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf9…d6f0backed Under	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over	64c	231.41$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.41	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x756c…66c7backed Under	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	55c	200$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91	148	45.9%68 W · 80 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Under	15c	184.62$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.65	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over	70c	178.57$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.57	129	68.2%88 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66c0…42b5backed Under	29c	160$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.4	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	65c	159.99$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	144	63.9%92 W · 52 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over	78c	155.7$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.95	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Over	74c	150$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Over	80c	145$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	71cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	20c	139$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	497	53.7%267 W · 230 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Under	35c	136.54$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.79	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…6c81backed Over	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Over	80c	130$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Under	41c	126.83$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-6.4wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Under	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	241	58.1%140 W · 101 L	+34.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under	17c	121.79$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.29	84	63.1%53 W · 31 L	+10.8wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc0df…40fabacked Over	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Under	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Over	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Over	76c	99.99$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.55	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	74c	94.59$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.59	208	64.9%135 W · 73 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over	78c	91$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.02	66	66.7%44 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Over	74c	89$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.14	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	75c	88.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.14	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over	70c	85.71$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.71	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	14c	79.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	318	49.1%156 W · 162 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed6a…841ebacked Under	17c	72.24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under	24c	67.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-8.7wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over	77c	62.34$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.34	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	78c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under	18c	56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3af…2c0abacked Over	74c	54.05$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.05	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over	52c	51.92$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.92	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over	80c	50.27$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.05	39	59%23 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	70c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over	62c	49$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.57	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd29…5958backed Under	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-37%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over	77c	46.75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedea…740fbacked Over	51c	46$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.54	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over	47c	44.97$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.83	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99df…b59abacked Under	24c	44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-4.4wins	-0.27per pick	46cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Over	66c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over	65c	32$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	103	61.2%63 W · 40 L	+9.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac06…9594backed Over	75c	27.6$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Over	79c	18.87$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.87	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	62cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfac5…71a9backed Over	76c	17.11$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.11	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf1…ba08backed Over	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4412…35b8backed Over	78c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	79c	13$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.72	432	41.9%181 W · 251 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5this page
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event