TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0df…40fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Pelicans vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.59
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+189%+$19.62
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+44.8%+$22.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+62.7%+$59.75
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$987.99
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$50.4
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.6
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.49
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$61.87
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.6
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-72.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$71
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+463.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+463.4%+$65.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 5?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Dayana Yastremska vs Talia Gibsonbacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.