TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$749,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $749,231 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 651 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes47c100,000$47,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,999.781330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes43c66,491$28,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,591.137753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c54,135$29,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,693.571,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No53c43,688$23,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,533.253661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c34,151$19,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,439.842,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c30,599$16,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,611.222,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c26,280$15,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,095.326,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No58c23,265$13,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,771.313748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Yes42c23,000$9,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,660911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-76.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No54c21,780$11,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,018.810057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes43c20,541$8,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,832.5116651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes1c19,406$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.917138%27 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes46c18,648$8,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,637.2428242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c18,456$8,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,623.411,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No54c14,454$7,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,648.799856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No54c10,421$5,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,810.5124146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4002733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.841060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No57c9,831$5,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,227.333452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.965655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No54c9,352$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,301.856567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No54c9,000$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No54c8,889$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.8910246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,76037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No53c7,977$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.13351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No53c7,481$3,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,496.274944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No56c7,250$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,19015949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes43c7,000$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.9913444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No56c6,070$3,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.652360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No57c6,034$3,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.6221253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Yes44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No56c5,312$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.414052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No56c5,280$2,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.25442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No53c5,210$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.7516050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No54c4,833$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.224748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No56c4,560$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.43759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c4,435$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.884,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes35c4,372$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51161143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes47c4,097$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.5930143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No55c3,737$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.6512454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.732158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c3,644$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.31,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No57c3,333$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.1918259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes47c3,309$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55515757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No53c3,300$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5511,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No53c3,213$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.214555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3808343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Yes43c2,958$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.943441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.786354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.249350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No57c2,714$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.1620246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Yes47c2,554$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes47c2,553$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5044…f67fbacked Yes47c2,500$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1651936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa51…a910backed No57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+149%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.9910951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No56c2,468$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.9272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes44c2,448$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.553132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No57c2,347$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.161,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No53c2,170$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.819153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No54c2,122$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.224052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes45c2,099$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.5352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No53c2,043$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.1713151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed No58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8602665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Yes44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8802035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92010743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No53c1,987$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.177853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes46c1,946$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.1713944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No54c1,900$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8745044%22 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.794755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.857833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No57c1,774$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.8212949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3949254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c1,621$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.9284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes47c1,596$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-47.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No53c1,500$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.991,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No59c1,433$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.4753344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No53c1,342$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.611,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes39c1,318$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.6313327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No63c1,200$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.2182763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No57c1,169$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.725050%25 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No56c1,150$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5063253.1%17 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Yes44c1,135$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.414166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No54c1,104$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.5529458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52822534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Yes48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043151.6%16 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+42.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x242e…7971backed Yes47c1,012$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691d…599fbacked Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4804252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.