TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,454 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c22,309$4,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,767.236,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes30c16,461$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.6910253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c14,175$9,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,235.624,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c12,353$9,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,056.372,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c9,773$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.891,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No74c9,122$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.754856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes28c6,132$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7171915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c3,607$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.561,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…6964backed Yes28c2,939$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8231216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Yes40c2,387$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.612277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes19c2,245$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.5713327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No72c2,083$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.2412949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes17c1,689$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28325225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c1,649$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.22,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked No63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.33764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4358062.5%50 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes5c1,460$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.222040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.92875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes27c1,094$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8561143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c999.25$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.761,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c964.41$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.111,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c861.1$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c768.45$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.072,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes3c750.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5710341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b8…68c0backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No73c630.14$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.146550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbaf0…6a3bbacked Yes27c601.23$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+102.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes27c600$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes27c530.25$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.171631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick19cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x381a…0ed5backed Yes27c524.35$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x894e…9629backed Yes27c465.32$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes26c450$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x315d…b420backed Yes11c431.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476036.7%22 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Yes26c431.1$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.099451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb3c…de27backed Yes27c423.65$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b18…5b0abacked Yes27c415.32$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb628…be65backed Yes27c365.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7077…e6b7backed Yes27c354.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes26c338.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.921,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes26c332.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5815233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes19c320$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.347227.8%20 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes16c313.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8119235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8132453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No73c299.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8130050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes27c298.49$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5972249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes28c280.39$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5112236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No72c276.21$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.341741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27bf…f0a8backed Yes28c268.96$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No73c267.29$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1716050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed No62c259.92$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.971957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes18c247$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.54440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c1…41fcbacked No74c230.1$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c230$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614e…f00fbacked No74c225.72$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc164…55e7backed Yes27c215.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.36645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa9…59c8backed No74c209.43$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5223353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd810…cf07backed No74c198.4$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes34c190$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.613860.1%83 W · 55 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes16c186$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011527%31 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2357…b74dbacked Yes11c182.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes28c180.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f9…5eccbacked No74c172.74$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf4…1017backed Yes27c170.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No54c165.31$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0441343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe278…e06ebacked No74c162.36$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e0…48a4backed No74c161.7$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.044100%4 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+257.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed53…ca2cbacked No74c156.08$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Yes29c153.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.155563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes17c146.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.349330.1%28 W · 65 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d61…0040backed No74c144.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca56…14b9backed No74c140.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.66580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Yes27c138.44$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.382445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes31c138.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8342324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23f1…d04cbacked No74c137.73$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+204.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6765…5478backed No74c137.51$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.753100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1762…1f75backed No74c136.5$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f7…d191backed No74c135.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes37c134.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010459.6%62 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes28c133.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9153344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed1f…225fbacked Yes27c130$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.91250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ef…c510backed No74c129.41$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes16c126.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a8…e3cfbacked No74c123.78$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes27c117.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.11,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159840.8%40 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…5644backed No74c114.13$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a1…89f9backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306330.2%19 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb1…3272backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.