Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04de0c6379cded9492a8be7ec5f2553f285d63dc765cac3a387f6fe9173bca09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 60c | 4,733$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.8 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 1,635$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.63 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 35c | 1,464$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.4 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 41c | 1,266$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1369…a213backed Under | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 3c | 902.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.65 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 598.51$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.74 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 74c | 539.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 66c | 392.38$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.38 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Under | 14c | 257.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.17 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 254.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.61 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 252.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.68 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b0…2fcdbacked Over | 61c | 213.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 52c | 192.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 65c | 154.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 148.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Under | 52c | 132.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Over | 47c | 131.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 57c | 125.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 43c | 116.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 45c | 115.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…7fe2backed Over | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…40fabacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Under | 29c | 45.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 61c | 45.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…ade4backed Over | 37c | 45.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 46c | 41.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 71c | 36.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…963abacked Under | 64c | 27.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 62c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 62c | 17.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326b…16b0backed Under | 64c | 16.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 62c | 16.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.