TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1369…a213

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.72
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$196.8
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.14
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$193.67
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$395.96
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$236.4
RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+99.5%+$84.92
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$161.21
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$131.25
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$96.16
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$202.5
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$127.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+56.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-5.5)backed Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,405Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,522.55
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$563.74
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggies: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$214.35
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$345.76
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$228.56
North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia Wolvesbacked West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$158.28
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$154.64
Louisville Cardinals vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$27.5
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$374.88
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$235.6
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$147.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$720
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$745.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Tijuana vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$360
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,988Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$811.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.