Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisville Cardinals vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51733813e69c6b5ecec927942d37d1edb85251ca4e9d7ba1c8ba48ee1d626370
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisville Cardinalsof Louisville Cardinals, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 14c | 4,110$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.93 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 9c | 2,400$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…cc4abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 21c | 2,100$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 29c | 1,747$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 6c | 1,573$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 1,187$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…9cddbacked Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 1,100$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…12e5backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 21c | 1,037$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 1,033$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.1 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8c | 1,033$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 1,008$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.84 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…f570backed Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Louisville Cardinals | 80c | 988.6$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.72 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 20c | 918.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…a592backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 23c | 827$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…dcd6backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 21c | 821$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…ab8fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 733$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 18c | 666.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…e56abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 24c | 638$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890f…8d21backed Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 563$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 25c | 560.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…e1babacked Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 551$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4643…4166backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 21c | 547$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 16c | 497.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 12c | 428.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 9c | 401.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 14c | 399.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 5c | 371.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…ea6abacked Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 351$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 31c | 335.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 22c | 318$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…0726backed Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 304$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…c0dfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 294$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…2fc2backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 287$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Louisville Cardinals | 80c | 282$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb6…ad74backed Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 276$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0087…fc86backed Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 258$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…12e5backed Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 253$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 7c | 244.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 9c | 228.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 7c | 228$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 18c | 219.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 8c | 208.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 195.82$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 7c | 194.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 20c | 185.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 17c | 163.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 141.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 10c | 129.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1369…a213backed Louisville Cardinals | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Louisville Cardinals | 78c | 122.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 122.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Louisville Cardinals | 78c | 121.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 19c | 105.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 18c | 93.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 25c | 59.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 56.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…9cf6backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed Louisville Cardinals | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 78cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 24.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 23.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 14.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsthis page
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-9.5)Wake Forest Demon Deacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.