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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boise State Broncosof Nevada Wolf Pack, Boise State Broncos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9267…0f9abacked Boise State Broncos70c20,000$13,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,10013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack30c18,061$5,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,418.4389645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nevada Wolf Pack31c7,936$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.161,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nevada Wolf Pack17c5,397$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.072,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Boise State Broncos70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50061652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos78c4,974$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.45,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nevada Wolf Pack11c3,691$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.082,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nevada Wolf Pack14c3,108$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.93,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Boise State Broncos70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90027851.1%142 W · 136 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nevada Wolf Pack13c2,441$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.145,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Nevada Wolf Pack31c1,752$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.61,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boise State Broncos69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nevada Wolf Pack34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Nevada Wolf Pack22c1,461$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.198817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Boise State Broncos70c1,442$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.615851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nevada Wolf Pack20c1,236$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6331646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Boise State Broncos68c1,228$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nevada Wolf Pack26c1,226$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.641,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f8…d699backed Boise State Broncos67c1,200$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.021435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Nevada Wolf Pack29c1,174$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.3520026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Nevada Wolf Pack32c1,142$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.4489850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Boise State Broncos71c1,127$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7627450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Nevada Wolf Pack36c1,113$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40094036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Boise State Broncos63c1,087$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8343450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae5…910abacked Nevada Wolf Pack2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20390%0 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack31c840$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1237142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack20c804.77$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4787047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nevada Wolf Pack27c795$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.192,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack12c700$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1814151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack23c583.03$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.721,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Boise State Broncos69c519.36$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.943,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Nevada Wolf Pack31c519.35$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Boise State Broncos67c512.37$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.991,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Nevada Wolf Pack35c433.03$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0955840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7c…6d06backed Nevada Wolf Pack24c380$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Nevada Wolf Pack26c377.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.841020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Nevada Wolf Pack28c357.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Boise State Broncos73c350$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.981,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos68c324.6$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.714,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Boise State Broncos66c298.66$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.137540%30 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Boise State Broncos69c294.35$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2510045%45 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Boise State Broncos66c290$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.68055%44 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Nevada Wolf Pack24c271$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6522050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Nevada Wolf Pack52c264$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack20c262$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.141631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3b…8400backed Nevada Wolf Pack40c251.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Nevada Wolf Pack16c225.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Boise State Broncos71c210$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Boise State Broncos79c210$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.922470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Nevada Wolf Pack18c205.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0736845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Nevada Wolf Pack24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Boise State Broncos61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9348462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack31c163.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Boise State Broncos69c157$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6719554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Nevada Wolf Pack33c154.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Nevada Wolf Pack20c152.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack14c146.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.759412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3422…cd99backed Nevada Wolf Pack20c143.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.292060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Nevada Wolf Pack31c139.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.240849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Nevada Wolf Pack15c136.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Nevada Wolf Pack20c129.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4422953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Boise State Broncos68c128.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.722,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Nevada Wolf Pack24c121$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.043,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Boise State Broncos70c101$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.391848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed Boise State Broncos72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Boise State Broncos58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.314354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1369…a213backed Boise State Broncos70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+56.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Nevada Wolf Pack33c94.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0342339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x410a…2643backed Boise State Broncos66c92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Boise State Broncos74c68.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0238345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec2…edd9backed Nevada Wolf Pack25c67.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack16c65.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.752020%4 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Boise State Broncos74c62.04$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.892382.6%19 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+54.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Boise State Broncos77c55.34$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.659259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Nevada Wolf Pack31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…592cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack27c47.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nevada Wolf Pack32c46.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8437835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848c…bfebbacked Nevada Wolf Pack32c46.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Boise State Broncos74c39.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.292,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffe…3ba7backed Nevada Wolf Pack30c39.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack32c38.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2916341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nevada Wolf Pack38c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.271,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Nevada Wolf Pack41c36.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7770349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Boise State Broncos70c35.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7725152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cae…b135backed Boise State Broncos71c34.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Boise State Broncos59c33.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.881963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Boise State Broncos71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.764658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Boise State Broncos67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8521746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Boise State Broncos70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Boise State Broncos74c16.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.294427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45e2…140fbacked Boise State Broncos68c16.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Boise State Broncos66c15.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Boise State Broncos77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4510095%95 W · 5 L+21.3wins+0.21per pick74cpaid+29.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0fb0…6a9fbacked Boise State Broncos67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.953161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853e…664dbacked Boise State Broncos72c14.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.