TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcdd2…cf0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2020%4 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Charlotte 49ers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.64
Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.81
Creighton Bluejays vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$25.2
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.17
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.52
Alcorn State Braves vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+98.3%+$28.45
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Idaho State Bengalsbacked Idaho State Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.65
Charleston Cougars vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Buffalo Bulls vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.73
Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.59
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Cleveland State Vikingsbacked Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.09
Iona Gaels vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.58
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-53.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.44
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.11
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.61
Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.51
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+188.9%+$28.75
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+103%+$17.57
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.87
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.6%+$11.17
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.45
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52.8
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.76
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.2
Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10.29
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+239.5%+$38.68
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+53.6%+$31.88
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.01
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.81
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+113%+$18.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+194.1%+$21.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+121.8%+$39.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO1)backed Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.