NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35a1048c766b70eb5cec00699a50da4fbbfc79eb5b28daae037a49d529740197
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Under | 50c | 142,397$71,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,000 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 117,962$59,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,765.56 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 12,613$6,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,251.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…af74backed Under | 46c | 4,422$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f1…8571backed Under | 46c | 4,419$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2401backed Under | 46c | 3,961$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731f…2936backed Under | 46c | 3,943$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9923…9ee0backed Under | 46c | 3,831$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd89…14c1backed Under | 46c | 3,764$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…5685backed Under | 46c | 3,759$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 3,590$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…966fbacked Under | 46c | 3,565$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 2,930$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 2,235$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…d900backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 29c | 1,555$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Over | 71c | 1,550$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 1,514$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.13 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…d433backed Over | 54c | 1,499$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…02debacked Over | 54c | 1,484$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…53abbacked Over | 54c | 1,452$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…4ce4backed Over | 54c | 1,420$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…dc05backed Under | 49c | 1,403$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…d93abacked Over | 54c | 1,396$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…9061backed Over | 54c | 1,338$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…1b66backed Over | 54c | 1,327$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f359backed Over | 54c | 1,310$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…d015backed Over | 54c | 1,276$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3523…a746backed Over | 54c | 1,254$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…7968backed Over | 54c | 1,243$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…8de7backed Over | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ff…bc41backed Over | 54c | 1,190$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…1b51backed Over | 54c | 1,189$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…e8b9backed Over | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949b…41d9backed Under | 50c | 1,149$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,144$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.65 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…ec32backed Over | 54c | 1,134$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…eab8backed Over | 54c | 1,125$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa908…2b2bbacked Over | 54c | 1,119$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…fde9backed Over | 54c | 1,106$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f80…1bd3backed Over | 54c | 1,103$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da5…ab1bbacked Over | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…cda1backed Over | 54c | 1,081$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6c…a434backed Over | 54c | 1,066$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…b139backed Over | 54c | 1,048$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…1328backed Over | 54c | 1,037$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1903…c051backed Over | 54c | 1,015$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Under | 48c | 997.44$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.77 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 833.15$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.12 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 57c | 832.23$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.9 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 703.7$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.08 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 57c | 674.79$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.16 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 620.76$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.79 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 356.09$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.05 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 53c | 351.07$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.61 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 351$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.01 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 347.31$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.18 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 50c | 297$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 50c | 272$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Under | 51c | 217.86$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…f4b2backed Under | 49c | 108.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Under | 48c | 87.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…35b6backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 52c | 71.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…9936backed Under | 50c | 70.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4d…9371backed Under | 48c | 67.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…cf0bbacked Under | 30c | 66.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 48c | 60.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 49.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 44.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c5…2e08backed Under | 51c | 42.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…4ac6backed Under | 50c | 32.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c5…db69backed Under | 51c | 32.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…babbbacked Under | 50c | 31.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…a959backed Under | 49c | 30.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5e…0d40backed Under | 49c | 30.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b6…e086backed Under | 50c | 27.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…082ebacked Under | 51c | 26.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…352cbacked Over | 79c | 24.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…e140backed Over | 52c | 22.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5this page
- Knicks vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.