NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc31c386a3a91e091c619ecaee0bed91142682b71f76e83d06737bf2d456e12e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2420…1328backed Over | 49c | 4,988$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.54 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…e8b9backed Over | 49c | 4,662$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1903…c051backed Over | 49c | 4,242$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…4ce4backed Over | 49c | 4,038$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…642bbacked Over | 45c | 3,967$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dea…1b7cbacked Over | 45c | 3,917$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…1281backed Over | 45c | 3,906$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f80…1bd3backed Over | 49c | 3,867$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…d433backed Over | 49c | 3,740$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 55c | 3,685$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.36 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…06bebacked Over | 45c | 3,609$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…1b51backed Under | 51c | 3,521$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…8de7backed Over | 49c | 3,411$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ff…bc41backed Over | 49c | 3,225$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…7968backed Over | 49c | 3,175$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f359backed Under | 51c | 2,754$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…cda1backed Under | 51c | 2,421$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f1…8571backed Under | 51c | 2,257$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 45c | 1,942$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…d015backed Under | 51c | 1,899$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 1,845$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9923…9ee0backed Under | 51c | 1,845$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2401backed Under | 51c | 1,721$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…ec32backed Under | 51c | 1,521$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…1b66backed Under | 51c | 1,511$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa184…e503backed Under | 55c | 1,490$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…6118backed Under | 55c | 1,473$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da5…ab1bbacked Under | 51c | 1,446$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bb…b391backed Under | 55c | 1,430$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731f…2936backed Under | 51c | 1,392$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3523…a746backed Under | 51c | 1,375$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…b139backed Under | 51c | 1,357$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…fe57backed Under | 55c | 1,342$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…5232backed Under | 55c | 1,321$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…3924backed Under | 55c | 1,312$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…d93abacked Under | 51c | 1,312$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…b4cfbacked Under | 55c | 1,306$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…fde9backed Under | 51c | 1,286$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…af74backed Under | 51c | 1,231$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…5685backed Under | 51c | 1,217$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…94fcbacked Under | 55c | 1,209$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…0fdbbacked Under | 55c | 1,188$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4404…02bebacked Under | 55c | 1,175$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 1,100$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8014…5959backed Under | 55c | 1,095$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…9061backed Under | 51c | 1,062$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f9…ed2abacked Under | 55c | 1,058$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6c…a434backed Under | 51c | 1,025$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…02debacked Under | 51c | 1,011$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa908…2b2bbacked Under | 51c | 665$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…eab8backed Under | 51c | 528$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd89…14c1backed Under | 51c | 511$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…966fbacked Under | 51c | 357$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Over | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 51c | 195.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Over | 59c | 177.86$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 47c | 148.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 148.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 57c | 144$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 50c | 131.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…53abbacked Under | 51c | 123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 43c | 61.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Under | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5this page
- Knicks vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.