NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda237bfe177f81794a631493034728181ef1f353366c9ab0979bf62ca4e05731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Knicks | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.97 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 48c | 27,191$12,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,251.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 53c | 12,881$6,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,826.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 36c | 8,268$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,293.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 49c | 7,988$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.04 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 48c | 7,925$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.07 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Knicks | 79c | 7,600$6,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,032 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Knicks | 51c | 6,100$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 48c | 6,018$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 47c | 5,382$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Knicks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Knicks | 52c | 4,774$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Warriors | 48c | 4,176$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.72 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Knicks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Warriors | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 48c | 2,920$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Knicks | 51c | 2,910$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.32 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Knicks | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Knicks | 51c | 2,068$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.64 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Warriors | 49c | 2,068$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.64 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Knicks | 51c | 2,051$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.53 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 22c | 2,025$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.5 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Knicks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 49c | 1,673$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.06 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Warriors | 48c | 1,614$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.28 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Warriors | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,520$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.4 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Warriors | 18c | 1,408$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.56 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Warriors | 48c | 1,299$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.39 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,277$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.27 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Knicks | 64c | 1,040$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Knicks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Warriors | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Warriors | 47c | 936.17$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.17 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Knicks | 51c | 817.65$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Knicks | 52c | 807.69$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Warriors | 68c | 736.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 57c | 682.94$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Knicks | 41c | 660.09$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.87 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Knicks | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Warriors | 48c | 562.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Warriors | 36c | 555$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 50c | 501$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Warriors | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Knicks | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Knicks | 60c | 473.33$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Warriors | 48c | 468$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors | 48c | 423.06$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Warriors | 49c | 408.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.17 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Warriors | 44c | 408$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Warriors | 49c | 400$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Warriors | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Knicks | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Knicks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…57acbacked Knicks | 69c | 335.58$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed Knicks | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Knicks | 52c | 317.83$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Knicks | 67c | 300$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Warriors | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Knicks | 60c | 275.82$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 32c | 260.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Warriors | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Knicks | 50c | 242.61$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Warriors | 48c | 234.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Knicks | 36c | 230.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Warriors | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Warriors | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Warriors | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Knicks | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Warriors | 51c | 197.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Knicks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Knicks | 51c | 195.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Knicks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Warriors | 48c | 189.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…661dbacked Knicks | 52c | 158.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Knicks | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Knicks | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 48c | 152.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Knicks | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Warriors | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed Knicks | 69c | 149.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Knicks | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Knicks | 53c | 125.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks | 16c | 118.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…638abacked Knicks | 52c | 115.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Knicks | 66c | 115$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…58bebacked Knicks | 51c | 113$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…d581backed Warriors | 44c | 110.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Knicks | 48c | 104.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Knicks | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Warriors | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Warriors | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 42c | 99.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…5685backed Knicks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Knicks | 51c | 86.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Warriors | 47c | 84.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Warriors | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Warriors | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)this page
- Knicks vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.