NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x556709b42f223fa4ee27146db5d6d242693d62e6d8d6e1ade43042c54f0685df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa908…2b2bbacked Under | 44c | 4,546$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…cda1backed Under | 44c | 4,461$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…1b66backed Under | 45c | 3,919$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…53abbacked Under | 45c | 3,842$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…fe57backed Under | 48c | 3,841$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4404…02bebacked Under | 48c | 3,823$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3523…a746backed Under | 45c | 3,777$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f359backed Under | 45c | 3,753$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa184…e503backed Under | 48c | 3,752$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…d93abacked Under | 45c | 3,714$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…fde9backed Under | 45c | 3,709$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…0fdbbacked Under | 48c | 3,694$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 2,097$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731f…2936backed Over | 55c | 1,480$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…b139backed Over | 55c | 1,470$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…02debacked Over | 55c | 1,463$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd89…14c1backed Over | 55c | 1,437$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…06bebacked Over | 52c | 1,425$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…1281backed Over | 52c | 1,419$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9923…9ee0backed Over | 55c | 1,413$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dea…1b7cbacked Over | 52c | 1,398$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…6118backed Over | 52c | 1,384$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…4ce4backed Over | 55c | 1,369$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ff…bc41backed Over | 55c | 1,304$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f9…ed2abacked Over | 52c | 1,280$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52bb…b391backed Over | 52c | 1,275$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…642bbacked Over | 52c | 1,267$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…eab8backed Over | 55c | 1,262$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f80…1bd3backed Over | 55c | 1,250$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da5…ab1bbacked Over | 55c | 1,248$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8014…5959backed Over | 52c | 1,246$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2401backed Over | 55c | 1,201$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…1328backed Over | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1903…c051backed Over | 56c | 1,194$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2069…9061backed Over | 55c | 1,192$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49e…d015backed Over | 55c | 1,179$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6c…a434backed Over | 56c | 1,173$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…5685backed Over | 55c | 1,160$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…ec32backed Over | 56c | 1,157$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…3924backed Over | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…966fbacked Over | 55c | 1,145$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…94fcbacked Over | 52c | 1,136$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…8de7backed Over | 56c | 1,128$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…1b51backed Over | 56c | 1,102$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…e8b9backed Over | 55c | 1,089$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…5232backed Over | 52c | 1,087$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…af74backed Over | 56c | 1,045$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…b4cfbacked Over | 52c | 1,043$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…d433backed Over | 55c | 1,037$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…7968backed Over | 55c | 1,015$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83f1…8571backed Over | 56c | 1,008$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Over | 54c | 921.59$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.93 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Over | 56c | 840.66$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.89 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 43c | 779.95$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.1 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 310.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 221.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Under | 48c | 207.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 26c | 207.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…421cbacked Over | 75c | 177.16$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 145.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 117$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 116$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 47c | 111$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 47c | 105.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…fa0fbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…3f63backed Over | 50c | 97.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 86.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 34c | 52.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 46.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5this page
- Knicks vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.