NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x012b8260351a50df6e58ee715dcd50636e870432d37e3dbad436dce6dafcaa9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Knicks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,488,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,656,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,488,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Knicks | 31c | 280,054$86,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,449.67 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Warriors | 70c | 117,975$82,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,705.62 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Knicks | 30c | 115,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000.02 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…9ab5backed Knicks | 31c | 84,281$26,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,127.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Knicks | 31c | 64,000$19,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,840 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 70c | 62,974$44,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,952.91 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 32c | 59,388$19,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,119.32 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Knicks | 25c | 56,168$14,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,154.12 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 10c | 51,810$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.84 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Warriors | 69c | 50,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,500 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 69c | 50,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,499.88 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 68c | 42,907$29,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,730.23 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 32c | 41,362$13,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,171.08 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 69c | 41,316$28,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,807.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 69c | 39,816$27,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,153.99 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 64c | 38,712$24,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,941.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks | 21c | 35,275$7,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.25 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Warriors | 69c | 35,000$24,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,849.98 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 69c | 32,166$22,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,960.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…0b2ebacked Knicks | 37c | 31,519$11,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,797.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 71c | 31,350$22,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,007.22 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 69c | 29,263$20,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,071.48 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 33c | 26,464$8,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,607.51 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Warriors | 70c | 25,839$18,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,751.57 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Knicks | 30c | 21,760$6,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,546.76 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Warriors | 70c | 21,114$14,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,334.16 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Knicks | 45c | 20,312$9,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,195.4 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Warriors | 46c | 20,312$9,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,997.39 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Knicks | 2c | 20,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 68c | 18,319$12,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,904.15 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Knicks | 0c | 18,305$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 48c | 18,167$8,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,778.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Warriors | 69c | 17,057$11,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.68 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Knicks | 31c | 16,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Warriors | 68c | 15,979$10,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.57 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Knicks | 59c | 15,675$9,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,229.92 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 71c | 14,539$10,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.63 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Knicks | 0c | 14,328$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Knicks | 13c | 13,944$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.72 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Warriors | 68c | 12,115$8,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.84 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Warriors | 59c | 11,866$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.31 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Warriors | 69c | 11,812$8,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.59 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Knicks | 31c | 11,365$3,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Warriors | 58c | 11,111$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.59 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Knicks | 1c | 10,980$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…0a68backed Knicks | 8c | 10,854$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Warriors | 70c | 10,316$7,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.94 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Knicks | 30c | 10,299$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.67 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Warriors | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Warriors | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Knicks | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Knicks | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.98 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 69c | 9,600$6,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Knicks | 0c | 9,245$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Warriors | 71c | 9,244$6,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.3 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…1aabbacked Knicks | 27c | 9,229$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Knicks | 14c | 9,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…bfc3backed Warriors | 53c | 9,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Knicks | 31c | 8,775$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Knicks | 30c | 8,535$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.5 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Warriors | 70c | 8,421$5,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.32 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks | 30c | 8,333$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Warriors | 68c | 8,333$5,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.52 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Warriors | 67c | 8,307$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.02 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks | 29c | 8,050$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…a46dbacked Knicks | 6c | 7,934$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Warriors | 69c | 7,777$5,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.86 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 69c | 7,774$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.73 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Warriors | 69c | 7,637$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.4 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks | 1c | 7,627$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d752backed Warriors | 63c | 7,183$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 69c | 7,090$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.9 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Warriors | 71c | 7,043$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.52 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Knicks | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Warriors | 73c | 6,984$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.78 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Knicks | 53c | 6,592$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 70c | 6,511$4,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.46 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 68c | 6,368$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.63 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 69c | 6,332$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.85 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Knicks | 29c | 6,207$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…7296backed Knicks | 9c | 6,073$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.54 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Knicks | 32c | 5,971$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.05 | 155 | 14.8%23 W · 132 L | -28.1wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 66c | 5,741$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.12 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Warriors | 63c | 5,580$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.88 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks | 34c | 5,503$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.33 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Warriors | 61c | 5,334$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.42 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Knicks | 36c | 5,213$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.34 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed Warriors | 66c | 5,191$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Knicks | 29c | 5,172$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Warriors | 55c | 5,159$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.79 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Knicks | 30c | 5,056$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.25 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Knicks | 29c | 5,018$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.56 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Knicks | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Knicks | 31c | 4,893$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Warriors | 69c | 4,800$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors | 68c | 4,796$3,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.72 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Warriors | 69c | 4,531$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.66 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Warriors | 70c | 4,454$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.29 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Knicks | 32c | 4,385$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.83 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Warriorsthis page
- Knicks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.