TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Knicks, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,904 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Warriors51c626.02$317 inWon+$308.845,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd3…4255backed Knicks56c535.71$300 inLost-$300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Knicks33c326$106 inLost-$106.4619434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Knicks40c259.57$104 inLost-$103.8323630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Warriors39c178.75$70 inWon+$109.2210255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked Knicks74c141.63$105 inLost-$105.351963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Warriors60c100$60 inWon+$4018764.7%121 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x743f…8101backed Warriors51c48.94$25 inWon+$23.942864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors44c42.21$19 inWon+$23.614,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9b…e140backed Warriors50c40$20 inWon+$201172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors63c35.92$23 inWon+$13.292,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Knicks37c35.92$13 inLost-$13.2957444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed Knicks49c30$15 inLost-$14.76235.5%22 W · 40 L-11.2wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-32.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Warriors40c29.1$12 inWon+$17.4648740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.