TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd913…2cf7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.96
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.87
Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+43.1%+$64.71
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+67.2%+$20.17
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+58.7%+$28.79
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+59.9%+$29.95
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.23
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Yanki Erelbacked Gijs Brouwer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+300%+$95.07
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Cem Ilkelbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$59.84
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Anna Frey vs Maria Aran Teixido Garciabacked Anna Frey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.87
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$134.06
Liege: Felix Balshaw vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$21.62
Contrexeville: Amandine Hesse vs Barbora Palicovabacked Barbora Palicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.08
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$45.21
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.86
San Luis Potosi: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Menorca: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.38
Qatar Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+28.6%+$42.95
Musetti vs. Fritz: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Farés Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.55
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$19.64
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+43.7%+$21.84
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joventut vs. CB Murciabacked CB Murcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burton Albion FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.