TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under48c53,756$25,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,802.9832653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over52c40,000$20,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,20017250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Under46c8,023$3,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,712.2310459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Over52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8404548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over50c4,279$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.7549244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c3,530$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.72,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over52c2,440$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over54c2,042$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.5622948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Under49c2,037$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.2610251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Under50c1,939$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.5112147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c1,809$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.051,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c1,807$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over53c1,669$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.474,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over54c1,501$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.471,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over53c1,361$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.4415849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c1,025$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over51c970.6$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.5916550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over53c932.93$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.4820846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3761,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over52c752.68$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.2914049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over52c699.99$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Over55c692.87$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.792657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c597.15$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.561,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under46c587.9$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over52c582.72$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7110750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c511.23$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.942,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…4d90backed Over53c505.34$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over51c492.41$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2814946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over55c478.89$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under45c417.24$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8417643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c410$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over53c357.14$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.856858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c347.74$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c315.93$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.581,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over52c314.24$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9821653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…602cbacked Under48c296.7$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.411361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over52c291.44$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9638947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under48c284.06$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under46c276.24$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over52c265.21$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.314445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over56c255.02$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2189853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under4c254.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3421443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under44c227.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c226.62$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.934,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Under48c224.04$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5410945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over76c218.51$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under41c215.58$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.241,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c205.75$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.521,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8852146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8843447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5744345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1211858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3676…330cbacked Under25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.751040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.821347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x342d…608cbacked Over52c177.73$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.312458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over53c174.32$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Over51c146$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.542254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c145.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.431,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over52c141.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0636153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c135.22$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.921,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under47c124.48$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over55c124.39$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.291,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over54c116.69$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6828949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under50c116.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.214444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd831…30c1backed Over53c110.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.712433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over54c106.32$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9113349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over52c104$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9228243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under46c102.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.189845.9%45 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under49c102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9835849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over52c100.03$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.026842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4963353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4695260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Under48c99.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5619851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c98.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.271,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6320847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ca…3b08backed Over52c89.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.893545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2511558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over52c84.15$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c81.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1560945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over50c80.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over54c79.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7946255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd913…2cf7backed Under46c73.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.873438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Over52c71.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.514753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Over55c70.16$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2319849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Over53c69.81$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.817455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over55c66.17$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5357550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Under46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.039652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c63.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6364844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c62.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.962,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c61.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.95,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2730256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over51c59.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under47c59.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8991746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1864…d161backed Under46c59.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.