TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bulls (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Bulls, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$313,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Bulls51c116,465$59,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,325.8387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Pacers49c100,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Bulls50c79,273$39,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,625.6320545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pacers51c70,604$35,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,694.2311457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Bulls53c9,862$5,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,225.471,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers48c9,706$4,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,047.191,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls50c8,706$4,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,339.381,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Pacers50c8,699$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.636746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers50c7,121$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,560.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls50c5,497$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.121,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pacers48c4,817$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.892,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls51c4,420$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.182442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pacers51c4,288$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.721,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Bulls53c4,132$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.7222948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9879549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers50c2,831$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Bulls50c2,619$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.546145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bulls49c1,857$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.481,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers49c1,838$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.382,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Pacers50c1,650$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Pacers50c1,571$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.719346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers51c1,217$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.216,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Bulls48c1,092$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.1271654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Bulls50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers48c997.87$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.891,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Bulls52c971.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.021,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Bulls52c850$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4422445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Bulls49c830.95$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.3968645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls45c743.52$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Bulls54c722.6$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Bulls50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29120650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls49c548.91$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.961,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Pacers49c512.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.751,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Bulls54c512.13$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Pacers49c504.74$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.271,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Bulls49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Pacers50c499.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7843544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Bulls49c494.45$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1634953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…4d90backed Bulls50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Bulls5c483.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255269.2%36 W · 16 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Bulls54c479$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Pacers52c478.79$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.869345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Pacers52c442.43$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2311145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Pacers53c413.02$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1226553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Pacers57c327.02$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0521450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Pacers49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.121,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Pacers49c300.51$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.267346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers49c292.25$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.044,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Pacers49c290.82$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Pacers49c290.82$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3242845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Pacers50c284.21$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1117651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Pacers52c246.81$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6422148%106 W · 115 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Pacers50c225.04$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5211855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Pacers53c221.23$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6423446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Pacers49c203.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0116948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pacers59c200.09$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.657550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Bulls49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Bulls54c194.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.029159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Bulls54c194.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.028052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Pacers50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9718055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pacers49c193.86$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers46c192.31$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.855,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Pacers51c189.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Bulls54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.244940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Bulls54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.249454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Bulls48c174.16$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pacers57c171.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.181,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e8…f672backed Pacers52c163.37$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Bulls50c163.34$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4714445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Bulls53c156.24$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7546255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbce5…cc57backed Pacers48c149.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.034763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls48c142.62$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.462,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Bulls52c140.34$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.385651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Pacers49c137.65$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.236153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6075…2f82backed Bulls52c135.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.921963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Bulls53c121.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1810753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Pacers50c118.34$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1715453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Bulls54c117.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4425651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bulls48c117.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Pacers49c114.39$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3420249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Pacers51c113.67$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3813751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Pacers50c110.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2910656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Pacers50c110.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2915253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8040…5c8abacked Pacers49c101.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.673638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Bulls51c100.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4411045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Pacers48c99.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Bulls53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.519245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Pacers50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Pacers50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.55147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked Pacers50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.56346%29 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Bulls51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5353453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Pacers50c95.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5321753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Pacers50c95.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5317155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a7…22a7backed Pacers50c95.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.534146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Bulls53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5910745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Bulls51c90.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.917751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Bulls54c90.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6290957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Bulls54c86.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4821459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.