NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84514a9aefb81cd6c5d95e7334dcb5ea2baab6db1c943033039ac0b506b99079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 38c | 3,161$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 44c | 2,607$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.18 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 2,420$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Under | 43c | 1,432$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.18 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 1,366$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.23 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 4c | 1,357$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 58c | 1,272$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.29 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 56c | 674.57$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.81 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 56c | 674.57$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.81 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 57c | 644.84$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.26 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 57c | 617.47$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.24 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 610.13$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.46 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 45c | 566.66$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 6c | 510.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 499.94$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 55c | 455$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Under | 46c | 443.83$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 42c | 369.62$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 315.22$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 57c | 237.64$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 59c | 176.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 56c | 167.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 43c | 161.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 56c | 135.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 131.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 73c | 119.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 112.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 11c | 110.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Over | 54c | 105.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Over | 57c | 101.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Under | 46c | 100.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 57c | 95.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 43c | 86.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed Over | 57c | 86.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 43c | 68.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Over | 57c | 66.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 65.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 56c | 62.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 72c | 60.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 57c | 57.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 71c | 49.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…0026backed Under | 29c | 47.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 44c | 47.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 44c | 45.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Over | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked Over | 57c | 33.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…f7d5backed Over | 66c | 31.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 70c | 31.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 57c | 28.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…746bbacked Over | 57c | 28.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 56c | 26.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…cf76backed Over | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 70c | 24.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 57c | 24.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked Over | 57c | 20.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 59c | 20.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 78c | 16.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 46 | 84.8%39 W · 7 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5this page
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Pacers vs. BullsPacers won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.