TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bulls (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Bulls, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed Pacers55c26,520$14,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,986.5436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pacers55c25,242$13,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,358.9229055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pacers55c18,945$10,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,448.171,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls42c11,761$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900.413,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls45c9,454$4,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.759,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls45c8,327$3,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7471,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Pacers55c7,456$4,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,324.110459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls45c6,681$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.451,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pacers55c4,427$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.871,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pacers64c4,008$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.5742348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Bulls49c2,982$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.8720843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls44c2,473$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.844,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Bulls45c2,364$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.712850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls36c2,354$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pacers50c2,336$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.9932846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bulls50c2,266$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.951,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls45c2,252$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Bulls43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bulls44c1,734$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.021,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls44c1,440$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.794,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Bulls45c1,410$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.356737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers55c1,232$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.621,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Bulls45c1,074$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.518748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Bulls46c1,052$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.818444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls15c1,009$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.332,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Bulls34c1,006$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.4526337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Pacers54c1,004$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.0244252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls46c868.97$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.492,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Bulls45c773.6$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.122520%5 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Bulls45c748.46$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.8114049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls44c665.21$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.181,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bulls45c610.18$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.5871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Bulls8c595$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.621443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Pacers57c590$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.756843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pacers56c588.78$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Pacers56c583.54$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Bulls45c543.65$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.641,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Bulls45c531.85$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.339845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Pacers65c528.77$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8519756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Pacers57c512.74$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4821957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pacers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Pacers55c499.92$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9722846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls44c474.13$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.622,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Bulls45c439.71$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.872138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Bulls47c425.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9452951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Bulls47c425$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Bulls44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17614046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pacers80c394.66$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.561,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Bulls38c386.89$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.897233.3%24 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Pacers57c350.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5276250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Bulls37c350$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.520353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Bulls45c340.38$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1716249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Bulls45c340.38$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1723850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Bulls45c340.38$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1713148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Bulls46c318.09$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls44c312.17$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.651,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Bulls45c305.57$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.320247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Pacers59c292.62$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Bulls45c274.59$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.568646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Bulls45c272.69$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7110750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Pacers56c270.09$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.845048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Bulls45c262.81$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2616450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Pacers55c255.75$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0539448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Bulls45c255.72$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0714445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef53…58e8backed Pacers55c253.2$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Bulls42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10511858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Bulls45c244.07$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.834641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Pacers53c231.29$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.713151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bulls44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6451647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Bulls45c219.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7935849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bulls44c213.51$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.951,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bulls36c206$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.161,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls39c202.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.011,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pacers70c196.54$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.971,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Pacers58c194.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8848751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Pacers55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5773649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Bulls45c193.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0328852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Bulls45c193.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0324151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pacers74c189.14$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4757550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pacers52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bulls47c184.62$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.772,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Bulls44c177$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.885160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Pacers64c176.08$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8861957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe193…466ebacked Pacers56c174.19$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.842646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Bulls44c172.04$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.076842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Bulls45c171.91$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3614145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Bulls45c171.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0213950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Bulls45c171.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0220040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Pacers66c168.54$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Bulls45c140.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1116845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Pacers53c139.43$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Bulls45c137.31$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7916245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Bulls45c137.31$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7954443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Pacers55c136.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3633748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Bulls45c131.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.616642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x776c…8863backed Bulls45c131.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.993151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Pacers53c128.35$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3272250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Bulls46c125.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.548658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Bulls45c120.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.156040%24 W · 36 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.