NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24c6ede28d609a43a64c39452fde5b01aadaafdd0a28a35efcd0081c4d026aa6

Rebuilt 56 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $251,344
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $243,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,344 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x992a…5e34backed Under	50c	143,088$71,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71,543.98	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over	50c	99,620$49,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,810.09	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	50c	60,000$30,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,000	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under	50c	38,596$19,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,107.39	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over	51c	29,555$15,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,481.84	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	51c	7,188$3,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,522.07	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	6,758$3,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,341.15	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	41c	6,066$2,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,477.71	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Under	53c	4,049$2,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,133.11	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over	50c	3,845$1,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,904.14	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	1c	3,392$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.92	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	50c	2,194$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090.33	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Under	53c	2,137$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.09	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	51c	1,842$939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.83	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	49c	1,838$901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$937.38	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	51c	1,826$931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.11	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	50c	1,795$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$897.57	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	50c	1,795$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$897.57	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	50c	1,600$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under	51c	1,267$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.37	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Under	15c	1,228$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.86	73	37%27 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	49c	1,120$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.19	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Under	49c	998.48$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.26	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under	51c	951.57$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.3	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	48c	873.35$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.76	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	49c	601.74$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.95	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeae2…d963backed Over	49c	598.46$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.21	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	49c	447.5$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.82	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	53c	393.6$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.88	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	50c	391.88$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.98	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under	50c	388$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	50c	388$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under	49c	314.56$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.13	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	50c	252$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186e…3ba3backed Under	25c	227.82$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.74	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	50c	216.14$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.99	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	48c	215.73$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.44	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	50c	200.82$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under	49c	197.84$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.94	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Over	52c	194.24$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.24	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over	50c	194$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf342…057bbacked Under	53c	183.36$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.18	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x980c…74cebacked Under	53c	183.36$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.18	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under	49c	167.42$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.03	102	56.9%58 W · 44 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x387b…fd56backed Over	49c	164.29$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.67	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	49c	163.68$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.05	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over	51c	150.42$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.71	672	48.8%328 W · 344 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under	50c	131.14$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.17	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3676…330cbacked Under	15c	128.12$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.22	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	50c	110.64$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.32	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Over	50c	97$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.5	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over	50c	95.08$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.54	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb9a…4d42backed Under	52c	92.45$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.07	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Over	60c	81.48$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.59	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Under	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	50c	78.59$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	54c	75.42$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.36	575	50.3%289 W · 286 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Under	52c	73.96$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.46	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	49c	69.82$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.53	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Under	51c	57.09$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.12	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…379dbacked Under	40c	52.23$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.11	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8f3…8279backed Over	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over	51c	49.48$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.25	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under	50c	48.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	141	44.7%63 W · 78 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under	52c	46.69$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.28	174	59.2%103 W · 71 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…b6d0backed Under	53c	46.18$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.29	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	44c	41.47$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	50c	39.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.95	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	50c	34.21$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.11	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under	50c	29.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	143	55.2%79 W · 64 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under	49c	23.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	378	53.4%202 W · 176 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…df70backed Over	51c	22.39$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.97	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over	63c	20.11$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	75	72%54 W · 21 L	+11.7wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+22%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5this page
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5No won
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 18.5No won
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Pacers vs. BullsPacers won
Pacers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylinePacers won
Pacers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Over won
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Over won
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Over won
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Over won
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5Over won
Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Pacers won
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pacers won
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Pacers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event