NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22cc28100cae54f62f45825643935212cc8976af9abb975d4186997db444597f

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,129 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xef53…58e8backed Under	51c	16,986$8,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,662.61	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	49c	13,343$6,538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,804.89	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	49c	10,731$5,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,472.81	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Under	51c	10,386$5,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,297.07	104	59.6%62 W · 42 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+23%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under	51c	9,400$4,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,794.05	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Over	49c	3,324$1,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,695.07	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	51c	2,192$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110.57	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	50c	1,994$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$997.16	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under	53c	910.74$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.01	88	59.1%52 W · 36 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over	50c	776$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388	187	48.1%90 W · 97 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	47c	749.18$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.51	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Under	55c	700.73$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.1	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	49c	586.14$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.64	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over	45c	485.56$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.06	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Under	54c	452.69$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.45	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over	46c	431.53$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.02	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over	46c	420.99$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.34	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over	48c	416.58$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.62	109	43.1%47 W · 62 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	51c	377.7$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.08	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	48c	295.11$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.88	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Under	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	108	54.6%59 W · 49 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	47c	278.45$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.59	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over	49c	278.22$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.89	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over	48c	278.05$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.58	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	52c	235.94$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.89	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	45c	231.21$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.17	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Under	53c	220.03$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.62	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over	72c	217.86$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over	50c	205.73$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.92	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	51c	200.04$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.02	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under	52c	193.94$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.85	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3676…330cbacked Under	28c	191.36$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.58	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over	47c	182.99$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.98	223	51.6%115 W · 108 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over	47c	154.5$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.89	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	54c	151.57$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.85	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c23…9d76backed Under	54c	136.14$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.51	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under	53c	131.19$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.53	428	53%227 W · 201 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Under	50c	116.96$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.19	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	21c	114.19$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.84	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over	49c	113.42$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.84	162	45.1%73 W · 89 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over	48c	113.35$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.94	361	53.5%193 W · 168 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over	50c	100.88$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.44	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under	51c	98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over	48c	86.8$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.13	168	45.2%76 W · 92 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over	50c	84.39$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.2	202	49%99 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	49c	80.98$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.34	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Over	48c	71.69$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.28	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Under	54c	59.42$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.09	145	57.2%83 W · 62 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under	51c	59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.09	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over	49c	58.16$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.66	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7133…69d6backed Over	47c	54.22$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.74	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	50c	50.26$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.13	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Over	49c	44.59$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.74	270	50%135 W · 135 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over	49c	39.57$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.18	143	55.2%79 W · 64 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over	48c	39.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.29	238	40.8%97 W · 141 L	-16.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Under	53c	38.87$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Over	50c	38.8$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.4	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over	73c	38.17$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.18	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+21.5wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+32%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under	51c	38.06$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	219	52.5%115 W · 104 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	54c	35.16$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.18	575	50.3%289 W · 286 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa488…379dbacked Under	39c	32.2$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over	76c	32.19$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.82	330	30.9%102 W · 228 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over	48c	30.03$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.62	261	47.1%123 W · 138 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Over	48c	30.03$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.62	166	47%78 W · 88 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	49c	29.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.16	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	52c	28.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Over	50c	28.13$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.07	400	48.3%193 W · 207 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30de…1f9dbacked Under	52c	28.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	53c	26.63$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	49c	26.61$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.57	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc98…b7f4backed Under	53c	25.27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.39	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28a5…6bc4backed Over	51c	23.29$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.41	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+25%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over	49c	22.41$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.43	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…c84cbacked Under	51c	21.82$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x418c…4a41backed Over	50c	21.34$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.67	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	54c	19.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b52…ce08backed Under	54c	19.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5this page
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5No won
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 18.5No won
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Pacers vs. BullsPacers won
Pacers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylinePacers won
Pacers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Over won
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Over won
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Over won
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Over won
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5Over won
Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Pacers won
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pacers won
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Pacers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event