NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46e719fdc16ea1c062a907a277a14e611dac8509582f760f9464fd28b900be2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 55c | 2,084$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.87 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 2,002$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 1,199$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 790.42$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.77 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 676.63$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.45 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 54c | 676.63$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.45 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 636.02$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.47 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 23c | 417.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 414.16$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 80c | 371.49$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 44c | 351.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.68 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 339.7$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 56c | 214.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 53c | 166.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 54c | 163.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 150.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed Over | 54c | 147.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 90.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…7f2cbacked Over | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 71.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 65.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 61.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 55c | 57.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 44c | 49.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…746bbacked Over | 54c | 49.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 54c | 48.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 45c | 47.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 54c | 40.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked Over | 54c | 35.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…ecfbbacked Under | 43c | 32.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Over | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 57c | 26.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Over | 57c | 26.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 57c | 26.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 57c | 26.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 57c | 26.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 57c | 26.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 57c | 26.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 26.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Over | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed Over | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…f7d5backed Over | 67c | 22.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…3973backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5this page
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Pacers vs. BullsPacers won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.