NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ad7fc1a9038ca255e231f7f6140c9751b92094b645bd47d9114ec2f9eeb2050
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 11,799$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100.29 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 71c | 4,861$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.49 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 41c | 742.79$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.62 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 42c | 720.52$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.62 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Over | 12c | 700$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +9.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +291%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Over | 12c | 700$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 58c | 663.84$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 15c | 623$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.67 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Over | 18c | 542$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.18 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Over | 50c | 495$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8abd…29a8backed Over | 76c | 492.8$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 23c | 468$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.08 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 17c | 400$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.1 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.43 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…b933backed Over | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 21c | 398$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 59c | 394.41$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.71 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 15c | 333$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.47 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 15c | 333$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.47 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Over | 15c | 333$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.47 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Over | 17c | 326$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.58 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 15c | 306$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.65 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 12c | 300$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 69c | 285.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 60c | 196.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3676…330cbacked Over | 69c | 161.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 131.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 62c | 107.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 69c | 107.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 55c | 106.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Over | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 96.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 43c | 88.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 57c | 80.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 59c | 67.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 63.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 43c | 61.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…fbedbacked Over | 51c | 58.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 43c | 49.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 42c | 43.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 59c | 23.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 56c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 58c | 21.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 58c | 21.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 58c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 58c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 58c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5this page
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Pacers vs. BullsPacers won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.