TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe92e…4d90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-50.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EKO Esports vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked EKO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.23
LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.6
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$381.9
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$274.74
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.98
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.23
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$241
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$163.14
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.79
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.88
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.2
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.11
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Players (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$122.54
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$188.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.2
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$123.13
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+70.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-50.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)backed Real Salt Lake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$247.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Estevam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.