TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Predators vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Predatorsof Predators, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$349,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Ducks57c84,987$48,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,442.3367051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Predators43c50,000$21,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,50048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c4…ee30backed Ducks40c47,699$18,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,905.561752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Predators43c24,803$10,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,245.2512047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Ducks39c20,281$7,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,857.4127448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Predators53c18,790$10,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,788.3289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Predators43c9,999$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.437038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Predators59c8,998$5,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,729.892,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Ducks60c8,500$5,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,091.585276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Predators43c7,320$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,194.0161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Predators68c6,961$4,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.1340351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd69…e2cebacked Ducks5c6,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Ducks57c5,500$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,134.9950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Predators43c5,440$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.535230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Predators64c5,202$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.472,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Ducks58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Predators42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9414940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Predators43c4,418$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.2620756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Predators43c4,186$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.055446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks3c3,938$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Ducks58c3,500$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Ducks58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Ducks58c3,112$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.6933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Predators42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.911,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Predators69c2,828$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.3733234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Predators67c2,613$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8541,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Predators56c2,358$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.9289355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Predators44c2,274$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.0810647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Predators43c2,222$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.5427547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Ducks59c2,220$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.8548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Predators47c2,174$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.683,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Predators42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed Predators41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Predators42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.993240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Predators42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9420450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Predators71c1,977$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.861,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c2…640fbacked Ducks12c1,900$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Ducks57c1,888$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.927258.3%42 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Ducks59c1,701$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Predators40c1,662$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.041,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Predators59c1,628$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.2652172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Ducks57c1,440$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.7476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Predators43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6846845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93db…1773backed Ducks58c1,100$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…1df8backed Ducks58c1,087$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.664546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Ducks34c1,072$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Predators70c1,071$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.2843742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Ducks38c1,055$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Predators42c1,050$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6091442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Predators42c1,000$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Ducks57c1,000$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5751770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Ducks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Ducks58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58029551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc10b…56ddbacked Ducks8c999.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Predators42c950$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55120144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Ducks58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011151.4%57 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Predators50c838$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.51,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Predators63c831.85$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.7410746.7%50 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Ducks58c829.88$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.331,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a1…e1bebacked Predators42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4641241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb465…0981backed Predators42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Predators68c720.11$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.2492049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Ducks18c693.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5210941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Predators63c641.77$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.4922853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Ducks58c624.99$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.4966552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Predators70c615$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3522250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Ducks59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3544077.5%31 W · 9 L+6.6wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+26.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Ducks57c599.41$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.962560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3d…79bbbacked Predators43c555.91$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Ducks58c555.17$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3222050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed Predators53c548$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.385841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17dc…aff8backed Ducks39c528.68$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked Ducks58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x749b…47b3backed Ducks58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Ducks51c508.56$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9924847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Ducks16c508.51$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3616446.3%76 W · 88 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Predators42c506$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4810548.6%51 W · 54 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Ducks40c504.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20070249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Predators70c500$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.512745.7%58 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Ducks57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2854850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff2…449fbacked Ducks58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Predators42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29049249.6%244 W · 248 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Predators43c500$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2532653.1%173 W · 153 L+18.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Ducks55c500$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.538555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Predators42c499.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9927049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Ducks18c499.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-34.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Ducks58c490.76$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.645666.1%37 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Ducks58c481$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.986139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Ducks60c478.45$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5515057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2d1…aa33backed Predators42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.192462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+55.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Predators69c473.28$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5414062.1%87 W · 53 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Ducks57c469.72$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706254.8%34 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Predators45c454$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.362,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Predators56c443.34$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9613856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…4d90backed Ducks57c440$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-50.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Ducks58c440$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.27853.8%42 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Ducks58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509762.9%61 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Ducks58c427.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25034040.3%137 W · 203 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Predators42c412$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9631848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.