NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0da08fc6086ec1b288d13658c0b94a0bec66a1a3b88eaac7826463562e41938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 49c | 19,901$9,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,243.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 17,014$8,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,758.45 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 3,007$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.9 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 1,000$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.95 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 996$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.8 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 53c | 159.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 50c | 88.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 48c | 70.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 48c | 41.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 36.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 49c | 36.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 72c | 35.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 52c | 32.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Over | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 25.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 63c | 20.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. DucksPredators won
- Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.