TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ShindeNof ShindeN, Fake do Biru
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b59…3aa6backed Fake do Biru43c4,963$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.8385358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Fake do Biru40c3,965$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.0484454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Fake do Biru15c3,469$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.287425.7%19 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Fake do Biru15c3,467$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Fake do Biru40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20c5…7452backed Fake do Biru8c2,460$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.82673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fake do Biru16c2,400$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.872,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN57c2,342$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0075,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…e7a4backed Fake do Biru16c2,090$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3441963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+30.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Fake do Biru15c2,018$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.7751252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Fake do Biru47c1,911$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.681,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked ShindeN64c1,825$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.98540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed ShindeN71c1,810$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.1578043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fake do Biru37c1,807$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.11,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed ShindeN60c1,627$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.671741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN71c1,394$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.096,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Fake do Biru24c1,374$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.481,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Fake do Biru29c1,282$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.516747.8%32 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed ShindeN57c1,267$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.814235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru20c1,203$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.877,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed ShindeN54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55243954.9%241 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Fake do Biru1c1,157$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.211102.7%3 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed ShindeN59c1,067$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.1515053.3%80 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked ShindeN57c1,053$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.0510949.5%54 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked ShindeN60c1,042$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9629235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…896ebacked Fake do Biru13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed Fake do Biru11c893.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7610441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed ShindeN60c880.86$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3438839.4%153 W · 235 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed ShindeN71c876$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.124457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fake do Biru16c851$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.512,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Fake do Biru39c813.54$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.492965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ShindeN61c770.19$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.664,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked ShindeN68c737.46$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9918341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fake do Biru26c719.9$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.12,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed ShindeN60c708.9$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.5625147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Fake do Biru27c680.03$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.182,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x023e…7334backed ShindeN58c678.19$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.845064%32 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ddc…6796backed Fake do Biru36c616.17$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.78837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed ShindeN70c605.76$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5757358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ShindeN79c595.02$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.933,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a5…d074backed Fake do Biru7c576.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.199645.8%44 W · 52 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Fake do Biru36c534.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3124942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Fake do Biru43c530.32$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7665254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fake do Biru32c528.33$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Fake do Biru43c499.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fake do Biru42c499.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.995,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked ShindeN67c490.19$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.221,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked ShindeN57c487.1$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4594945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked ShindeN61c472.85$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4110261.8%63 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0e…b995backed ShindeN57c470.01$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.12272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe92e…4d90backed Fake do Biru43c440$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…0bf5backed Fake do Biru45c430.43$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked Fake do Biru45c429.37$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.414654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed ShindeN55c413.76$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1920554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fake do Biru30c400$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.542,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked ShindeN59c394.11$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9633060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked ShindeN60c382.27$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9111646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked ShindeN59c368.13$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Fake do Biru44c297.35$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5333352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Fake do Biru22c279.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.541,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Fake do Biru14c276.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7498352.4%515 W · 468 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x494c…8923backed ShindeN58c265.55$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5312351.2%63 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…e527backed Fake do Biru14c260$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6a…189bbacked Fake do Biru37c256.59$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.96460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9795…1b84backed ShindeN78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked ShindeN57c248.01$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6420358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5229…2befbacked Fake do Biru12c239.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.638739.1%34 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0b…3c12backed ShindeN62c236.96$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.157459.5%44 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3831…d788backed ShindeN56c210.3$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.531346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Fake do Biru37c200.73$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.121,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Fake do Biru42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8411651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8d…81c4backed ShindeN66c195.91$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Fake do Biru37c195.31$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.074944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN80c184.79$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.185,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed ShindeN57c181.63$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9233044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked Fake do Biru43c168.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4427754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Fake do Biru32c163.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.982917.2%5 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed ShindeN60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0715749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c4…b153backed ShindeN57c159.77$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked ShindeN59c151.86$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1245663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6284…353cbacked ShindeN60c150.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.22366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Fake do Biru42c149.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.987625%19 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ff…6431backed ShindeN56c145.36$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9623165.8%152 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed ShindeN57c144.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3533451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed ShindeN58c143.19$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1410951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed ShindeN58c134.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.581551.7%421 W · 394 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed ShindeN58c134.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.575048.4%363 W · 387 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaad9…caefbacked ShindeN58c134.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.51540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc75…5431backed ShindeN58c134.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed ShindeN59c133.23$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.182540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ShindeN71c130.29$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.434,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed ShindeN55c129.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.533348.9%163 W · 170 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed ShindeN64c129.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7815358.2%89 W · 64 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Fake do Biru19c126.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.785863.8%37 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c83…8c5fbacked Fake do Biru37c121.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.072227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked ShindeN58c117.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.470038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Fake do Biru18c112.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4836434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Fake do Biru39c110$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.11,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed Fake do Biru42c106.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.744736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked ShindeN57c104.26$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8321653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.