CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2581dd5afb9cb73839331cec9b5c96b2f390947cdcbb4b1e83673537cd373ee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fake do Biru | 29c | 1,564$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.14 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked ShindeN | 54c | 1,252$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.01 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed ShindeN | 52c | 937.24$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.69 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fake do Biru | 41c | 888.86$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.63 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fake do Biru | 15c | 834.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Fake do Biru | 13c | 787.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fake do Biru | 54c | 775.5$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.77 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fake do Biru | 30c | 700$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN | 77c | 643.55$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ShindeN | 45c | 568.49$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.08 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fake do Biru | 46c | 525.41$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Fake do Biru | 35c | 497.77$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Fake do Biru | 6c | 315.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed Fake do Biru | 48c | 311.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked ShindeN | 80c | 205.4$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked ShindeN | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Fake do Biru | 51c | 179.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed ShindeN | 61c | 172.42$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed ShindeN | 75c | 163.44$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Fake do Biru | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7df…81d9backed Fake do Biru | 63c | 143.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 41c | 142.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 117.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Fake do Biru | 25c | 106.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ShindeN | 63c | 101.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fake do Biru | 52c | 73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed ShindeN | 68c | 58.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Fake do Biru | 46c | 51.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Fake do Biru | 25c | 44.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Fake do Biru | 26c | 43.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Fake do Biru | 51c | 37.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Fake do Biru | 54c | 36.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked ShindeN | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked ShindeN | 52c | 35.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Fake do Biru | 50c | 34.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Fake do Biru | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Fake do Biru | 45c | 27.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fake do Biru | 54c | 21.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Fake do Biru (+1.5)ShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.