CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d12fb413870a895bf4650367efe0a15c300852a3ef2a735a381c0c40daf205d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Fake do Biru | 30c | 9,027$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.89 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ShindeN | 68c | 2,583$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.93 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Fake do Biru | 21c | 2,245$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.77 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed ShindeN | 62c | 1,990$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.92 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ShindeN | 72c | 1,300$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ShindeN | 77c | 1,227$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.58 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked ShindeN | 65c | 753.35$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.87 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…0f23backed ShindeN | 67c | 722.28$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Fake do Biru | 38c | 722.09$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.2 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked ShindeN | 63c | 711.28$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.42 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Fake do Biru | 39c | 686.25$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.33 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fake do Biru | 36c | 614.21$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.55 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed ShindeN | 65c | 592.86$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.31 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed ShindeN | 78c | 577.4$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked ShindeN | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fake do Biru | 33c | 431.05$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Fake do Biru | 38c | 398.95$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN | 71c | 396.21$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Fake do Biru | 30c | 280.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed ShindeN | 63c | 201.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ShindeN | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed ShindeN | 65c | 183.63$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…da18backed Fake do Biru | 37c | 147.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked ShindeN | 65c | 120.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fake do Biru | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ShindeN | 74c | 98.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked ShindeN | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Fake do Biru | 38c | 86.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Fake do Biru | 38c | 82.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fake do Biru | 38c | 80.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked ShindeN | 64c | 76.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed ShindeN | 71c | 74.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ShindeN | 78c | 55.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fake do Biru | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked ShindeN | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Fake do Biru | 38c | 43.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ShindeN | 62c | 42.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed ShindeN | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9927…f135backed ShindeN | 63c | 34.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Fake do Biru | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Fake do Biru | 38c | 29.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked ShindeN | 59c | 27.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed ShindeN | 69c | 26.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed ShindeN | 79c | 23.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked ShindeN | 61c | 21.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…44bdbacked ShindeN | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed ShindeN | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Fake do Biru (+1.5)ShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.