MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2de959921761988a0c3189390befdea9f082a868085fd6a7f5ab43d3d28df21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $471,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $465,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fae…7e3dbacked Over | 43c | 163,621$69,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,755.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 41c | 129,653$53,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,969.71 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 42c | 114,472$48,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,393.89 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 58c | 83,300$48,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,314 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 59c | 80,000$47,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,199.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 57c | 75,000$42,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,750 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 58c | 51,724$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 58c | 35,186$20,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,309.86 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 58c | 23,000$13,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,340 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 57c | 17,000$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,689.85 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 58c | 15,344$8,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,974.13 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Over | 41c | 7,003$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.77 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 58c | 5,815$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.7 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 42c | 5,500$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Under | 57c | 5,216$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Under | 58c | 4,401$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 58c | 4,202$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.91 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 58c | 4,197$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.08 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 4,127$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.38 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 42c | 3,480$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.87 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 3,368$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.8 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Under | 59c | 3,119$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 58c | 2,954$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.76 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 58c | 2,476$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.69 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 2,360$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.47 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 58c | 2,000$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 41c | 1,762$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.45 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 42c | 1,300$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.72 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 56c | 1,059$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.2 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 59c | 983.91$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.42 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 57c | 921$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.97 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Under | 4c | 910$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 63c | 868.41$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.03 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 59c | 840.18$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.32 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 74c | 828.96$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 42c | 804.33$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.51 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 42c | 752.34$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 41c | 749.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 738.93$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 59c | 590.96$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.37 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Over | 42c | 571.4$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.41 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…5e13backed Under | 14c | 550$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 42c | 522.47$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.2 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…4d90backed Over | 43c | 491.88$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 33c | 490.96$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 60c | 484.97$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.87 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Over | 41c | 482.3$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 31c | 465.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.67 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Over | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 58c | 417.86$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.74 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 58c | 417.86$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.74 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 56c | 389.44$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.09 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 385.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 33c | 376.15$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.02 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 40c | 363.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.37 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Over | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 59c | 349.2$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed Under | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…db0bbacked Under | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 59c | 291.64$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.07 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 58c | 280.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.94 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 42c | 274.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 22c | 260.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Under | 68c | 257.22$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 57c | 255.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…466ebacked Under | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 58c | 218.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 62c | 196.26$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 42c | 175.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 58c | 175.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 59c | 172.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a18…e0b2backed Under | 58c | 136.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 42c | 135.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 54c | 132.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 117.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Over | 41c | 115$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Under | 57c | 114.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 34c | 114.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Under | 57c | 105.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 57c | 100.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 46c | 100.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 42c | 89.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 57c | 86.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 42c | 85.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 59c | 82.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…8daabacked Over | 23c | 81.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- NRFI: New York Yankees vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
- New York Yankees vs. Seattle MarinersNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.