TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Seattle Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$351,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$451,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,059 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees48c67,805$32,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,021.836758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Seattle Mariners52c35,000$18,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,20028350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Mariners42c25,584$10,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,620.8665050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners52c19,936$10,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,366.5198149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Seattle Mariners51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,649.9915148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked New York Yankees63c7,677$4,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.051,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb3…8ed1backed Seattle Mariners52c6,869$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.647048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners41c6,640$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.4138148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees48c5,767$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,993.181,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed New York Yankees48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9813349.6%66 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Seattle Mariners49c4,970$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.391,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners4c4,752$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.691,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners51c4,261$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.335,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners52c4,066$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.31,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Seattle Mariners51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04020350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees66c3,511$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.452,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Seattle Mariners51c3,007$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.577839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda0f…d41cbacked New York Yankees68c2,877$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.213855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners1c2,797$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.171,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Seattle Mariners5c2,768$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.52218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Seattle Mariners52c2,624$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.3612247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees55c2,610$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.712,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…0c02backed New York Yankees69c2,558$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees65c2,539$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.889,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Seattle Mariners52c2,017$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.916547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Seattle Mariners51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seattle Mariners6c1,931$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.491,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a7…3bb2backed New York Yankees49c1,839$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.774158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked New York Yankees48c1,637$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.382850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Seattle Mariners50c1,470$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.1946547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Seattle Mariners2c1,449$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6623036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees61c1,361$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.4212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed New York Yankees52c1,325$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Seattle Mariners51c1,238$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.41,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0715…c2d3backed New York Yankees49c1,143$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked New York Yankees56c1,114$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.889554.7%52 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Seattle Mariners52c1,043$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.932152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked New York Yankees70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30023060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed New York Yankees49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.4822948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed New York Yankees49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.486752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked New York Yankees49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.481346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners51c988.14$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.446,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097c…5cdebacked New York Yankees61c961.2$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed New York Yankees48c958.72$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.531163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Seattle Mariners52c958.57$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.464052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Seattle Mariners42c953.25$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.621656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed New York Yankees68c950.4$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.134652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked New York Yankees50c896.2$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.0611844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed New York Yankees48c892.1$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.8929344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed New York Yankees48c887.55$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.6561346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Seattle Mariners52c882$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.6475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Seattle Mariners31c819.6$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.084740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners10c807.84$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.831,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497c…a617backed New York Yankees49c765.81$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed New York Yankees49c742.56$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.712,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Seattle Mariners5c732.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.913742.3%58 W · 79 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked New York Yankees48c730.48$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.8546749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked New York Yankees57c702.05$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Seattle Mariners42c690.09$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0654941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Seattle Mariners45c646.04$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7216135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed New York Yankees71c594.64$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2819452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked New York Yankees59c591.35$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.451861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked New York Yankees49c590.36$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.091,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed New York Yankees54c587.16$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.676055%33 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Yankees50c582.35$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3694034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Seattle Mariners4c579.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.783321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees49c566.43$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.881,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Seattle Mariners52c553.25$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.6928347.7%135 W · 148 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Seattle Mariners18c539.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.967051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Yankees49c538.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8850751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed New York Yankees48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.994143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e2…42d9backed New York Yankees49c494.59$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Yankees48c494$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.882,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked New York Yankees48c493.56$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.652934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Seattle Mariners51c490.17$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.996764.2%43 W · 24 L+10.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Seattle Mariners52c485.6$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5122548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed New York Yankees49c480.82$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.2212154.5%66 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…11bebacked New York Yankees61c480.3$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-59%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Seattle Mariners15c433.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.581,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked New York Yankees67c427.88$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.059255.4%51 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ab…8c2ebacked New York Yankees63c419.48$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.472045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees66c415.75$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.191,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed New York Yankees66c415.75$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1939351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x406d…5298backed Seattle Mariners54c410.32$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Seattle Mariners51c405.9$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.52,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed New York Yankees48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Seattle Mariners5c388.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4378649.1%386 W · 400 L+3.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed New York Yankees47c388$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.6444643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcad…df78backed Seattle Mariners37c384.6$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0610930.3%33 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners51c383.91$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.221,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed New York Yankees58c380.06$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.71,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Seattle Mariners8c371.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7113138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…8eadbacked Seattle Mariners53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.363036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-36.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Mariners44c348.75$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8970735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb6…ef3abacked New York Yankees57c331.57$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2a…c4ecbacked New York Yankees60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked New York Yankees64c305.44$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.818345.4%83 W · 100 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ad8…8a2cbacked New York Yankees48c302.75$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.433948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked New York Yankees49c301.48$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.765846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked New York Yankees65c301.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4381257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.