MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00f3ff0e70137b52118a47a74692152461cd40f59bc458f7ebeacd913c55099a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 20,006$9,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,182.86 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 14,017$6,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,447.77 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 8,760$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.88 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 66c | 7,758$5,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.38 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Over | 54c | 7,618$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.14 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 7,362$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 54c | 6,510$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.57 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Over | 53c | 5,341$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.36 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 45c | 4,004$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.83 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 55c | 2,639$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 45c | 2,461$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.66 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Under | 63c | 2,034$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 1,816$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.66 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 53c | 1,616$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.53 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 1,347$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.73 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 55c | 1,253$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.73 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 47c | 1,121$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.21 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 1,028$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 983.89$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.33 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 46c | 980.42$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.99 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 47c | 952.58$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 54c | 935$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.19 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 887.87$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.05 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 771.77$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.07 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 763.33$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 48c | 729.49$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Over | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over | 55c | 641.58$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.71 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Under | 45c | 572$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Over | 51c | 570$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 47c | 553.19$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 53c | 504.2$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.63 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 501$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…4d90backed Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 54c | 459.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.46 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 54c | 459.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.46 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Under | 46c | 439.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 79c | 395$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 46c | 386.85$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Under | 64c | 306.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 46c | 287$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 53c | 283.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 47c | 281$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 47c | 281$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 47c | 280.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 49c | 241.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 35c | 226.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Over | 54c | 216.89$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Over | 53c | 214$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Under | 49c | 204.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 201.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Under | 47c | 178$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 56c | 164.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 55c | 157.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 151$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Under | 47c | 142.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Under | 47c | 142$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960d…4629backed Under | 47c | 142$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 31c | 141.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 55c | 139$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 56c | 133$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 79c | 125$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.9wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Under | 46c | 121$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 46c | 113.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Over | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 55c | 106.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…14c4backed Over | 55c | 102.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5955backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a8…13e4backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…ae0ebacked Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 67c | 90.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Under | 49c | 86.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 84.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- NRFI: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.