MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7280bf939c4b11aa0bb12acec9c9562487516a21d593d48fe6fe6bc04e54a182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $555,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $614,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 66,673$29,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,841.39 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 48,433$24,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,616 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 40,035$11,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,873.54 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 38,472$27,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,156.96 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 31,096$22,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,483.19 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 28,424$7,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,905.3 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 24,852$17,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,958.56 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 24,628$6,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,854.56 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 24,367$6,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,906.24 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 20,139$5,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,454.14 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 19,076$5,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,368.47 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 18,896$5,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290.86 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 14,457$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.53 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 10,540$7,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.14 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 9,210$6,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.32 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 9,005$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 8,378$5,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.63 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 7,496$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.62 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 7,235$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,834.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 6,600$5,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.44 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 5,898$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.76 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 5,283$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.11 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 5,020$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 4,845$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 4,383$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.21 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 4,090$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.1 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.98 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 3,591$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.81 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 3,362$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.6 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 3,277$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.33 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 3,260$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.3 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 3,100$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…ab03backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 2,921$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.51 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 2,748$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.38 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b5…cab4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 2,689$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,496$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.65 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 2,222$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.38 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 2,098$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.03 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 1,643$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.86 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 1,635$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.33 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 1,626$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 1,489$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 1,280$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.58 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 1,121$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.69 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 1,113$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.76 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4f…bfa3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 1,109$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 1,050$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.85 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…b225backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 990.8$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.34 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…39dbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 938.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 856.36$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 53cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…e809backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 660$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 659.21$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.55 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 630$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 627.59$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 611.62$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.57 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 603$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.45 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad6…f1d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 590.61$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 583.67$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 582.28$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 542.86$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 524.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 517.49$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 465.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 461$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.96 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 459.72$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…242dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 451.18$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 436.78$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…5797backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 418.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 400.89$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 400.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…a55abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 385$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb987…bc55backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 370$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aed…7896backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 359.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 357.92$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 352.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 350.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c0…65ecbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- NRFI: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.