NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x992bc2a1d68dc380f63d192759726d9f924126eb8e041caf696f8e484ea4e472
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $896,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $928,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $896,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 56c | 328,970$183,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,383.98 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Penguins | 44c | 193,083$84,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,956.72 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 44c | 73,182$32,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,348.97 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Stars | 57c | 70,500$40,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,315 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Penguins | 43c | 68,018$29,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,346.78 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 65c | 58,092$37,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,761.4 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Stars | 56c | 57,873$32,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,483.82 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Penguins | 44c | 44,563$19,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,584.72 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Stars | 34c | 44,444$15,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,332.9 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Penguins | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 44c | 23,276$10,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,294.19 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Stars | 44c | 21,568$9,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,085.92 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Stars | 56c | 19,365$10,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,576.13 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Penguins | 44c | 15,609$6,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,921.62 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Stars | 54c | 15,385$8,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,077.28 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Penguins | 43c | 12,470$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.88 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 44c | 12,289$5,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,363.75 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Penguins | 44c | 11,981$5,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,271.45 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 54c | 11,959$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,542.79 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Penguins | 44c | 11,336$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.92 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Penguins | 44c | 11,317$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.12 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106a…3857backed Penguins | 44c | 10,276$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Penguins | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.95 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Stars | 59c | 8,452$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Stars | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Penguins | 50c | 7,708$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.35 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Stars | 54c | 7,539$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.89 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Stars | 56c | 6,810$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 28c | 6,603$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.08 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 54c | 6,587$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.37 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 47c | 6,508$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.7 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf9…208bbacked Stars | 56c | 6,075$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 43c | 6,000$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Penguins | 43c | 6,000$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Stars | 34c | 5,911$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.55 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 46c | 5,362$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.84 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Penguins | 46c | 5,030$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.79 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Penguins | 46c | 4,800$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Penguins | 44c | 4,341$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.39 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Penguins | 47c | 4,218$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.29 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…a542backed Stars | 56c | 4,202$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Stars | 54c | 4,120$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.18 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Penguins | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Penguins | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Penguins | 45c | 4,000$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.98 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Penguins | 44c | 3,701$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.63 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Penguins | 49c | 3,266$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.96 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Stars | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 40c | 2,972$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.21 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Stars | 55c | 2,900$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Stars | 58c | 2,770$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.4 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Stars | 55c | 2,702$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.67 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Penguins | 45c | 2,648$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 56c | 2,613$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.49 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 44c | 2,607$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.89 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stars | 56c | 2,507$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.03 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Stars | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Stars | 54c | 2,497$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.83 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Penguins | 44c | 2,422$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.2 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Penguins | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars | 57c | 2,222$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.45 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Penguins | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Penguins | 33c | 2,145$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.89 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Stars | 55c | 2,124$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Penguins | 61c | 2,103$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Stars | 34c | 2,100$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Stars | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Penguins | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Penguins | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Stars | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Penguins | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Penguins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Penguins | 44c | 1,932$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Penguins | 58c | 1,776$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.97 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars | 55c | 1,767$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Penguins | 44c | 1,642$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Stars | 54c | 1,630$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.98 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Penguins | 46c | 1,543$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.43 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Stars | 34c | 1,475$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.73 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Stars | 42c | 1,400$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.92 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Stars | 42c | 1,388$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.01 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Stars | 36c | 1,387$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Penguins | 56c | 1,266$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.18 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Stars | 35c | 1,163$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stars | 60c | 1,155$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.92 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Penguins | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.49 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Penguins | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Stars | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Penguins | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 78c | 984.11$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.11 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penguins | 45c | 962.74$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.42 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Penguins | 46c | 951.38$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.49 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…434bbacked Penguins | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Stars | 71c | 935.75$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.95 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46e5…79f3backed Stars | 42c | 922.14$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.89 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Stars | 54c | 900$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.28 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Penguins | 46c | 900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Penguins | 49c | 872.26$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.13 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Penguinsthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Stars vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Stars vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.