MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b2c3b43673e982d18510daa9cf26bdbf3026371f2f819462ecd1b013e7c8d1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 10,181$5,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,325.05 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 52c | 4,922$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.21 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 46c | 3,156$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked Over | 49c | 3,032$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.09 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,883$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.27 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.43 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Over | 49c | 2,033$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.09 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 1,901$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 49c | 666.73$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.03 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 451.14$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Over | 48c | 444.03$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Over | 48c | 387.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…4d90backed Over | 48c | 343.12$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 53c | 256.92$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 42c | 208.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 51c | 199.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 53c | 197.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 165.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 55c | 154.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Under | 55c | 154.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 55c | 154.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 55c | 154.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 143.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 55c | 143.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 55c | 143.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Over | 48c | 113$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 106.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 103.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 46c | 95.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 81.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 55c | 81.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…14c4backed Over | 48c | 76.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 76.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 49c | 73.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 62.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 42.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…3552backed Under | 33c | 39.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 36.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 48c | 36.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 49c | 36.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601c…5306backed Under | 56c | 34.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Over | 48c | 22.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 48c | 21.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 162 | 56.2%91 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado RockiesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-9.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.